Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians81.8% K O 3.555.6% BBA O 2.550% OUT O 15.5
Season
All Joey Cantillo propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
11g36.4%Over: 4-7
0vs O 2.5+125
@
Tigers5/21
Tigers5/21✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 33.3%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(18%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cantillo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 16.7%(1-5) | 28.6%(2-5) | 50%(3-3) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Casey Mize
5/21Current Tigers hitters have struck out 24.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Cantillo over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Chris Paddack
5/16Current Reds hitters are batting .239 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cantillo over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Samuel Aldegheri
5/11Current Angels hitters are batting .240 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cantillo over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-10 Over11g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/21 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 5/16 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +113 |
| 5/11 | vs Angels | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 5/11 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -132 |
| 5/6 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +122 |
| 5/1 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +101 |
| 4/25 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 4/19 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -131 |
| 4/14 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +101 |
| 4/8 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -157 |
| 4/3 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 4/3 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -158 |
| 3/28 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 3/28 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -169 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Joey Cantillo hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Joey Cantillo hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6 with an average actual of 1.9.
Is Joey Cantillo over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Joey Cantillo over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$295 (-26.82% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 1.9.
What is Joey Cantillo's earned runs average this season?
Joey Cantillo averages 1.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.