Cleveland Guardians84.2% K O 3.546.7% BBA O 2.544.4% HA O 4.5
Season
All Joey Cantillo propsProps — 202619 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
19g36.8%Over: 7-12
0vs O 2.5+107
@
Twins7/7
Twins7/7✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✗✓
H: 28.6%(7)A: 40%(10)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(26%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cantillo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 87.5%(7-1) | 14.3%(1-6) | 25%(2-6) | 42.9%(3-4) | 71.4%(5-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
7/7Pitchers with similar repertoires to Cantillo have an ERA of 6.49 against the Twins over the last year.
★★★★★vs MacKenzie Gore
7/1Current Rangers hitters have struck out 27.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Cantillo over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
6/26Mariners hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Cantillo.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-16 Over19g · 27 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | @Twins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +107 |
| 7/1 | vs Rangers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 7/1 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -151 |
| 6/26 | vs Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -162 |
| 6/26 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 6/20 | @ Astros | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 6/13 | vs Tigers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +126 |
| 6/7 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +121 |
| 6/2 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +111 |
| 6/2 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 5/26 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -154 |
| 5/26 | vsNationals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +129 |
| 5/21 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/21 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 5/16 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +113 |
| 5/11 | vs Angels | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 5/11 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -132 |
| 5/6 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +122 |
| 5/1 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +101 |
| 4/25 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 4/19 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -131 |
| 4/14 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +101 |
| 4/8 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -157 |
| 4/3 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 4/3 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -158 |
| 3/28 | @Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 3/28 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -169 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Joey Cantillo hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Joey Cantillo hits the over on earned runs 2.5 35.3% of the time in 2026, going 6-11 with an average actual of 2.2.
Is Joey Cantillo over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Joey Cantillo over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$434 (-22.84% ROI). The hit rate is 35.3% with an average actual of 2.2.
What is Joey Cantillo's earned runs average this season?
Joey Cantillo averages 2.2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge