Inside Edge
Minnesota Twins62.5% OUT O 17.550% ER O 1.540% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Joe Ryan propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
11g20%Over: 2-8-1
4vs O 4.5-105
vs
Astros5/20
Astros5/20✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗P
H: 20%(5)A: 20%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Ryan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 50%(2-2) | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 80%(4-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Michael Burrows
5/20Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.33 against the Astros in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Astros.
★★★★★vs Logan Henderson
5/15Brewers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Ryan.
★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
5/9Current Guardians hitters are batting .245 against pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Ryan over the the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-12-1 Over11g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsAstros | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 5/15 | vs Brewers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -150 |
| 5/15 | vsBrewers | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +140 |
| 5/9 | @ Guardians | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 5/3 | vs Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 0 | L | +109 |
| 4/28 | vs Mariners | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -118 |
| 4/23 | @ Mets | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -101 |
| 4/17 | vs Reds | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +119 |
| 4/17 | vsReds | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -175 |
| 4/11 | @Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -158 |
| 4/11 | @Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 4/6 | vs Tigers | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +115 |
| 4/6 | vsTigers | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -173 |
| 4/1 | @ Royals | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -121 |
| 3/26 | @ Orioles | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Joe Ryan hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Joe Ryan hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 22.2% of the time in 2026, going 2-7-1 with an average actual of 3.2.
Is Joe Ryan over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Joe Ryan over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$616 (-56% ROI). The hit rate is 22.2% with an average actual of 3.2.
What is Joe Ryan's hits allowed average this season?
Joe Ryan averages 3.2 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.