Minnesota Twins68.8% OUT O 17.552.6% K O 6.547.1% HA O 4.5
Season
All Joe Ryan propsProps — 202620 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
19g44.4%Over: 8-10-1
3vs O 4.5-127
@
Yankees7/5
Yankees7/5✗✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 55.6%(9)A: 33.3%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Ryan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 28.6%(2-5) | 55.6%(5-4) | 22.2%(2-7) | 88.9%(8-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers
7/5Yankees hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Ryan.
★★★★★vs Mike Burrows
6/30Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.34 against the Astros in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Astros.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
6/24Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Ryan have an ERA of 5.15 against the Dodgers since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-16-1 Over19g · 28 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Yankees | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -127 |
| 7/5 | @Yankees | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +125 |
| 6/30 | @ Astros | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -143 |
| 6/30 | @Astros | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 6/24 | vs Dodgers | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -160 |
| 6/24 | vsDodgers | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +122 |
| 6/18 | @ Rangers | O 5.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 6/18 | @Rangers | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -159 |
| 6/12 | vs Cardinals | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 6/12 | vsCardinals | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -165 |
| 6/6 | vs Royals | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -150 |
| 6/1 | vs White Sox | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -140 |
| 5/26 | @White Sox | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +110 |
| 5/20 | vsAstros | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 5/15 | vs Brewers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -150 |
| 5/15 | vsBrewers | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +140 |
| 5/9 | @ Guardians | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 5/3 | vs Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 0 | L | +109 |
| 4/28 | vs Mariners | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -118 |
| 4/23 | @ Mets | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -101 |
| 4/17 | vs Reds | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +119 |
| 4/17 | vsReds | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -175 |
| 4/11 | @Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -158 |
| 4/11 | @Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 4/6 | vs Tigers | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +115 |
| 4/6 | vsTigers | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -173 |
| 4/1 | @Royals | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -121 |
| 3/26 | @ Orioles | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Joe Ryan hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Joe Ryan hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 47.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-9-1 with an average actual of 4.3.
Is Joe Ryan over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Joe Ryan over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$375 (-19.74% ROI). The hit rate is 47.1% with an average actual of 4.3.
What is Joe Ryan's hits allowed average this season?
Joe Ryan averages 4.3 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge