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Players/MLB/Minnesota Twins/Joe Ryan/Earned Runs
Joe Ryan

Joe Ryan

Minnesota Twins•Pitcher•2026
4.12ERA138K124.5IP10.0K/923G
4.12ERA138K124.5IP10.0K/923G
65% OUT O 17.557.1% K O 5.555% HA O 4.5
Season
All Joe Ryan props

Props — 202624 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

23g
avg 2.2
42.9%Over: 9-12-2
4vs O 2.5+100
@Royals8/4
✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✗
H: 37.5%(8)A: 36.4%(11)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
25%
0%
60%
50%
100%
Mar
0-1
Apr
1-3
May
0-4
Jun
3-2
Jul
2-2
Aug
1-0
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(9%)
Total Matchups
23
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Ryan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)
★★★★★50%(1-1)0%(0-2)50%(1-1)100%(2-0)100%(1-0)
★★★★★40%(2-3)50%(2-2)60%(3-2)20%(1-4)75%(3-1)
★★★★★60%(6-4)37.5%(3-5)55.6%(5-4)30%(3-7)80%(8-2)
★★★★★50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Randy Dobnak
8/4

Royals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Ryan.

★★★★★vs Randy Dobnak
7/29

Not enough matchup data.

★★★★★vs Brady Basso
7/25

Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Ryan have an ERA of 4.90 against the Athletics since last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
16-16-2 Over23g · 34 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/4@RoyalsO 2.54W+100
7/29vsRoyalsO 2.54W+130
7/29vsRoyalsO 1.54W—
7/20@GuardiansO 2.58W—
7/20@GuardiansO 1.58W-165
7/11vsAngelsO 1.52W-167
7/11vsAngelsO 2.52L+129
7/5@YankeesO 2.50L+115
6/30@AstrosO 2.56W+120
6/24vsDodgersO 2.54W+105
6/18@RangersO 2.50L+134
6/18@RangersO 1.50L-185
6/12vsCardinalsO 2.53W+107
6/6vsRoyalsO 2.51L+131
6/6vsRoyalsO 1.51L-185
6/1vsWhite SoxO 1.54W-163
5/26@White SoxO 2.52L+134
5/26@White SoxO 1.52W-175
5/20vsAstrosO 1.51L-145
5/15vsBrewersO 1.51L-190
5/15vsBrewersO 2.51L+110
5/9@GuardiansO 1.51L-160
5/9@GuardiansO 2.50P+130
5/3vsBlue JaysO 2.50L+110
4/28vsMarinersO 2.52L+114
4/23@MetsO 2.54W+131
4/23@MetsO 1.54W-177
4/17vsRedsO 1.51L-132
4/11@Blue JaysO 2.52L+126
4/11@Blue JaysO 1.52W-171
4/6vsTigersO 1.52W-120
4/1@RoyalsO 2.50P+120
4/1@RoyalsO 1.55W-172
3/26@OriolesO 2.50L+118

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Joe Ryan hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Joe Ryan hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-10-2 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Joe Ryan over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 23 games in 2026, betting $100 on Joe Ryan over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$362 (-15.74% ROI). The hit rate is 41.2% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Joe Ryan's earned runs average this season?
Joe Ryan averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 23 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Joe Ryan 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.24 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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