Inside Edge
Detroit Tigers72.7% HRR O 0.563.6% H O 0.561.9% TB O 0.5
Season
All Javier Baez propsProps — 202628 games with closing lines
Home Runs
28g4.5%Over: 1-21-6
0vs O 0.5+700
@
Braves4/29
Braves4/29P✗✗✗P✗✗PP✗
H: 9.1%(11)A: 0%(17)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(13%)
Total Matchups
30Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Baez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(4-6) | 0%(0-10) | 20%(2-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs JR Ritchie
4/29Baez has a wOBA of just .236 in his last 41 PA's.
★★★★★vs Martin Perez
4/28Baez has an OPS of .866 against left-handers with low strikeout rates over the last two seasons but has a well hit rate of 9.1% (League Avg: 20.2%) in his last five games.
★★★★★vs Rhett Lowder
4/26Baez has a wOBA of just .224 over his last 5 games in 17 PA's.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-46-12 Over28g · 59 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/29 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +700 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 4/28 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/26 | @ Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 4/26 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 4/25 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/25 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 4/24 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 4/24 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +790 |
| 4/23 | vs Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 4/23 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 4/22 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/21 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +25000 |
| 4/21 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +980 |
| 4/20 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1340 |
| 4/20 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +40000 |
| 4/19 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/19 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/18 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 4/18 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1380 |
| 4/17 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/17 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/16 | vs Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/16 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 4/16 | vsRoyals | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +9000 |
| 4/15 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 4/15 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/15 | vsRoyals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/12 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/12 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1900 |
| 4/11 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1140 |
| 4/11 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +17500 |
| 4/10 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +950 |
| 4/10 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +17500 |
| 4/9 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 4/9 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/8 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/8 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/7 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 4/7 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/6 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 4/6 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +950 |
| 4/5 | vs Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 4/5 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 4/5 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/3 | vsCardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Javier Baez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Javier Baez hits the over on home runs 0.5 4.5% of the time in 2026, going 1-21-6 with an average actual of 0.
Is Javier Baez over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 28 games in 2026, betting $100 on Javier Baez over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,150 (-41.07% ROI). The hit rate is 4.5% with an average actual of 0.
What is Javier Baez's home runs average this season?
Javier Baez averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 28 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.