Boston Red Sox58.5% H O 0.546.9% HRR O 1.545.1% R O 0.5
Season
All Jarren Duran propsProps — 202687 games with closing lines
Home Runs
86g15.9%Over: 13-69-4
0vs O 0.5+560
@
White Sox7/7
White Sox7/7✗✓✗✗P✗✗✗✗✗
H: 14.3%(42)A: 15.9%(44)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(7%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Duran's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(6-8) | 14.3%(2-12) | 28.6%(4-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 52.4%(11-10) | 14.3%(3-18) | 28.6%(6-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 54.5%(12-10) | 22.7%(5-17) | 36.4%(8-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 72.7%(16-6) | 13.6%(3-19) | 40.9%(9-13) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Duran.
★★★★★vs Ryan Johnson
7/5Duran is hitless in 7 AB's over the last 5 days.
★★★★★vs Sam Aldegheri
7/4Aldegheri has allowed a batting avg of of .314 (11-for-35) against hitters like Duran over the last two years, but Duran is batting just .200 (6-for-30) against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Aldegheri.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-175-10 Over86g · 198 props
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jarren Duran hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jarren Duran hits the over on home runs 0.5 15.9% of the time in 2026, going 13-69-4 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Jarren Duran over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 86 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jarren Duran over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$1,975 (+22.97% ROI). The hit rate is 15.9% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Jarren Duran's home runs average this season?
Jarren Duran averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 86 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge