Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox56.8% H O 0.547.7% R O 0.539.5% HRR O 1.5
Season
All Jarren Duran propsProps — 202646 games with closing lines
Home Runs
45g13.6%Over: 6-38-1
1vs O 0.5+875
@
Royals5/20
Royals5/20✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 10%(20)A: 16%(25)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(8%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Duran's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(3-6) | 22.2%(2-7) | 44.4%(4-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(8-6) | 14.3%(2-12) | 21.4%(3-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(5-3) | 12.5%(1-7) | 25%(2-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 77.8%(7-2) | 11.1%(1-8) | 33.3%(3-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/22Duran is batting .400 (6-for-15) over the last 5 days but is batting just .203 (26-for-128) against left-handers with high flyball rates over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/20Duran is batting just .157 in his last 51 AB's.
★★★★★vs Bailey Falter
5/19Duran is batting just .194 (27-for-139) against left-handers with avg flyball rates like Falter over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-88-2 Over45g · 96 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +875 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8100 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +850 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/17 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +675 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 5/14 | vs Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8200 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/10 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +610 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +690 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/6 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +610 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +700 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8600 |
| 5/3 | vs Astros | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +675 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/1 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +680 |
| 5/1 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 4/28 | @ Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/27 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 4/27 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 4/26 | @ Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/25 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 4/25 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8900 |
| 4/24 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 4/24 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 4/23 | vs Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jarren Duran hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jarren Duran hits the over on home runs 0.5 13.6% of the time in 2026, going 6-38-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Jarren Duran over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 45 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jarren Duran over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$550 (+12.22% ROI). The hit rate is 13.6% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Jarren Duran's home runs average this season?
Jarren Duran averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 45 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.