Pittsburgh Pirates100% K O 2.580% BBA O 1.533.3% HA O 4.5
Season
All Jared Jones propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
7g28.6%Over: 2-5
2vs O 4.5
@
Phillies7/2
Phillies7/2✗✗✗✓✗✗✓
H: 33.3%(3)A: 33.3%(3)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jones's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Alan Rangel
7/2Current Phillies hitters have an OPS of .817 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Jones over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
6/27Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Jones have an ERA of 4.44 against the Reds since last year.
★★★★★vs Michael Lorenzen
6/21Rockies hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Jones.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-6 Over7g · 9 props
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jared Jones hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Jared Jones hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 4.7.
Is Jared Jones over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jared Jones over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$197 (-28.14% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 4.7.
What is Jared Jones's hits allowed average this season?
Jared Jones averages 4.7 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge