Pittsburgh Pirates100% K O 2.580% BBA O 1.533.3% HA O 4.5
Season
All Jared Jones propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
7g42.9%Over: 3-4
1vs O 2.5-122
@
Phillies7/2
Phillies7/2✗✓✗✓✗✗✓
H: 0%(1)A: 25%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jones's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Alan Rangel
7/2Current Phillies hitters have an OPS of .817 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Jones over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
6/27Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Jones have an ERA of 4.44 against the Reds since last year.
★★★★★vs Michael Lorenzen
6/21Rockies hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Jones.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-5 Over7g · 8 props
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jared Jones hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jared Jones hits the over on earned runs 2.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 1-4 with an average actual of 1.8.
Is Jared Jones over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jared Jones over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$157 (-22.43% ROI). The hit rate is 20% with an average actual of 1.8.
What is Jared Jones's earned runs average this season?
Jared Jones averages 1.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge