Inside Edge
Chicago Cubs77.8% K O 3.562.5% ER O 2.557.1% HA O 4.5
Season
All Jameson Taillon propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g55.6%Over: 5-4
8vs O 2.5-119
@
White Sox5/16
White Sox5/16✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 80%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Taillon's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 60%(3-2) | 75%(3-1) | 40%(2-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/22Current Astros hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Taillon over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Davis Martin
5/16Current White Sox hitters are batting .238 in their last 781 AB's against pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Taillon, but other matchup data favors the White Sox.
★★★★★vs Jacob deGrom
5/10Current Rangers hitters are batting .227 against pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Taillon over the the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-4 Over9g · 11 props
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jameson Taillon hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jameson Taillon hits the over on earned runs 2.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 3.5.
Is Jameson Taillon over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jameson Taillon over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$9 (+1% ROI). The hit rate is 62.5% with an average actual of 3.5.
What is Jameson Taillon's earned runs average this season?
Jameson Taillon averages 3.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.