Chicago Cubs76.9% K O 3.566.7% HA O 4.558.3% ER O 2.5
Season
All Jameson Taillon propsProps — 202613 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
13g53.8%Over: 7-6
1vs O 2.5-101
vs
Giants6/7
Giants6/7✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✗
H: 33.3%(6)A: 83.3%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
13Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Taillon's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(6-0) | 50%(3-3) | 80%(4-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Trevor McDonald
6/7Giants hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Taillon.
★★★★★vs Gage Jump
6/2Athletics hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Taillon.
★★★★★vs Bubba Chandler
5/27Current Pirates hitters have an OPS of .824 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Taillon over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-6 Over13g · 16 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/7 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -101 |
| 6/2 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 5/27 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -124 |
| 5/22 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +130 |
| 5/22 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -172 |
| 5/16 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -119 |
| 5/10 | @ Rangers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -103 |
| 5/5 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 4/29 | @ Padres | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -122 |
| 4/24 | @ Dodgers | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +119 |
| 4/24 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -145 |
| 4/18 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +124 |
| 4/12 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -162 |
| 4/12 | vsPirates | O 3.5 | 6 | W | +118 |
| 4/6 | @ Rays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +112 |
| 3/31 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -109 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jameson Taillon hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jameson Taillon hits the over on earned runs 2.5 58.3% of the time in 2026, going 7-5 with an average actual of 3.3.
Is Jameson Taillon over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jameson Taillon over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$19 (+1.46% ROI). The hit rate is 58.3% with an average actual of 3.3.
What is Jameson Taillon's earned runs average this season?
Jameson Taillon averages 3.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge