Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays65.2% HRR O 0.562.5% H O 0.558.3% SO O 0.5
Season
All Jake Fraley propsProps — 202631 games with closing lines
Home Runs
30g8.3%Over: 2-22-6
0vs O 0.5+760
vs
Marlins5/17
Marlins5/17PP✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 5.9%(17)A: 7.7%(13)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
45Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Fraley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(6-6) | 8.3%(1-11) | 0%(0-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 70%(7-3) | 20%(2-8) | 20%(2-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Eury Perez
5/17Fraley has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.9% in 109 AB's against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons ; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
5/16Fraley is slugging .464 against right-handers with low strikeout rates over the last two seasons but has a well hit rate of 9.1% (League Avg: 20.2%) in his last five games.
★★★★★vs Janson Junk
5/15Fraley has a Well-Hit Rate of just 5.3% in his last 19 AB's; League avg: 19.7%.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-49-12 Over30g · 63 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 5/17 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +760 |
| 5/16 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +830 |
| 5/16 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +15000 |
| 5/15 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/15 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/13 | @ Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/13 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/11 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/11 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +990 |
| 5/5 | vsBlue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/5 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/3 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 5/2 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/1 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 5/1 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 4/29 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 4/29 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 4/28 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 4/28 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/26 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 4/26 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/25 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +750 |
| 4/25 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 4/24 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +840 |
| 4/24 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 4/21 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 4/21 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/20 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/20 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 4/19 | @ Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1100 |
| 4/19 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +30000 |
| 4/18 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +920 |
| 4/18 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +15000 |
| 4/17 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 4/17 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 4/15 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +960 |
| 4/15 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 4/15 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +9000 |
| 4/12 | vs Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 4/12 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/10 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +840 |
| 4/10 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 4/8 | vs Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 4/8 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/7 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +970 |
| 4/7 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/7 | vsCubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jake Fraley hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jake Fraley hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-22-6 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Jake Fraley over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 30 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jake Fraley over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$490 (-16.33% ROI). The hit rate is 8.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Jake Fraley's home runs average this season?
Jake Fraley averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 30 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.