Inside Edge
Houston Astros38.1% H O 0.538.1% TB O 0.538.1% 1B O 0.5
Props — 202521 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
21g28.6%Over: 6-15
1vs O 0.5+630
@
Angels9/28
Angels9/28✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗
H: 16.7%(12)A: 44.4%(9)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
35Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Melton's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 0%(0-9) | 22.2%(2-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jacob deGrom
9/6Melton has a Well-Hit Rate of just 4.8% in 21 AB's against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like deGrom over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.
★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
9/5Melton has a Well-Hit Rate of just 9.1% in his last 33 AB's; League avg: 20.4%.
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodon
9/4Matchup data is limited but favors Melton.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-27 Over21g · 33 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +630 |
| 8/31 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 8/31 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 8/27 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +2200 |
| 8/27 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +340 |
| 8/26 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 8/26 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3300 |
| 8/23 | @ Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 8/23 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 8/21 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 8/21 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 8/18 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +650 |
| 8/17 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 8/17 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 8/16 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 8/16 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 8/13 | vs Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 8/13 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 8/12 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 8/12 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 7/29 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +415 |
| 7/29 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3400 |
| 7/28 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +425 |
| 7/28 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3100 |
| 6/13 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 6/11 | vs White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +375 |
| 6/10 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +500 |
| 6/8 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +700 |
| 6/6 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 6/5 | @ Pirates | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +3200 |
| 6/5 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +400 |
| 6/4 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 6/3 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jacob Melton hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Jacob Melton hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 28.6% of the time in 2025, going 6-15 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Jacob Melton over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 21 games in 2025, betting $100 on Jacob Melton over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned +$1,720 (+81.9% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Jacob Melton's stolen bases average this season?
Jacob Melton averages 0.3 stolen bases per game in 2025 across 21 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.