Inside Edge
Houston Astros38.1% H O 0.538.1% TB O 0.538.1% 1B O 0.5
Props — 202521 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
21g14.3%Over: 3-18
0vs O 0.5+165
@
Angels9/28
Angels9/28✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 8.3%(12)A: 22.2%(9)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
35Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Melton's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 0%(0-9) | 22.2%(2-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jacob deGrom
9/6Melton has a Well-Hit Rate of just 4.8% in 21 AB's against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like deGrom over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.
★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
9/5Melton has a Well-Hit Rate of just 9.1% in his last 33 AB's; League avg: 20.4%.
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodon
9/4Matchup data is limited but favors Melton.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-38 Over21g · 41 props
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jacob Melton hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Jacob Melton hits the over on runs scored 0.5 14.3% of the time in 2025, going 3-18 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Jacob Melton over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 21 games in 2025, betting $100 on Jacob Melton over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$1,345 (-64.05% ROI). The hit rate is 14.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Jacob Melton's runs scored average this season?
Jacob Melton averages 0.1 runs scored per game in 2025 across 21 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.