
38.1% H O 0.538.1% TB O 0.538.1% 1B O 0.5
Props — 202521 games with closing lines
Home Runs
21g0%Over: 0-21
0vs O 0.5+680
@
Angels9/28
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(12)A: 0%(9)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
35Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Melton's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 0%(0-9) | 22.2%(2-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jacob deGrom
9/6Melton has a Well-Hit Rate of just 4.8% in 21 AB's against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like deGrom over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.
★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
9/5Melton has a Well-Hit Rate of just 9.1% in his last 33 AB's; League avg: 20.4%.
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodon
9/4Matchup data is limited but favors Melton.
Game Log
Bet
$
0-41 Over21g · 41 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 9/28 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 8/31 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 8/27 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 8/27 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 8/26 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 8/26 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 8/23 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 8/23 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 8/21 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 8/21 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 8/18 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 8/18 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 8/17 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 8/17 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 8/16 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 8/16 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 8/13 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 8/13 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 8/12 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 8/12 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 7/29 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 7/29 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 7/28 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 7/28 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/13 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 6/13 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 6/11 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 6/11 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/10 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +825 |
| 6/10 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 6/8 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/8 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 6/6 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 6/6 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 6/4 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 6/4 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/3 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +18000 |
| 6/3 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jacob Melton hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jacob Melton hits the over on home runs 0.5 0% of the time in 2025, going 0-21 with an average actual of 0.
Is Jacob Melton over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 21 games in 2025, betting $100 on Jacob Melton over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$2,100 (-100% ROI). The hit rate is 0% with an average actual of 0.
What is Jacob Melton's home runs average this season?
Jacob Melton averages 0 home runs per game in 2025 across 21 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge