Jackson Merrill

San Diego PadresPosition Player•2026

Reg0.206 / 4 HR / 19 RBI / 37 H / 10 SB / 47G

63% SO O 0.561.7% HRR O 0.553.2% H O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Jackson Merrill goes over 0.5 strikeouts 63% of the time (29-17-3)

Props — 202650 games with closing lines

Hits

50g

avg 0.6

53.2%Over: 25-22-3

1vs O 0.5-180

Athletics5/23

✓P✗✓✗✓✗✗P✗

H: 60.7%(28)A: 36.4%(22)

Home Runs

50g

avg 0

8.5%Over: 4-43-3

0vs O 0.5+570

Athletics5/23

✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗

H: 7.1%(28)A: 9.1%(22)

RBIs

50g

avg 0.2

27.7%Over: 13-34-3

0vs O 0.5+211

Athletics5/23

✗P✗✗✗✓✗✗P✗

H: 25%(28)A: 27.3%(22)

Runs Scored

50g

avg 0.3

40.4%Over: 19-28-3

1vs O 0.5+155

Athletics5/23

✓P✗✗✗✓✗✗P✗

H: 42.9%(28)A: 31.8%(22)

Strikeouts

50g

avg 1.1

61.7%Over: 29-18-3

0vs O 0.5-204

Athletics5/23

✗P✓✗✗✗✓✓P✓

H: 50%(28)A: 71.4%(21)

Total Bases

50g

avg 0.8

34%Over: 16-31-3

2vs O 1.5+157

Athletics5/23

✓P✗✗✗✓✗✗P✗

H: 32.1%(28)A: 33.3%(21)

Walks

50g

avg 0.4

29.8%Over: 14-33-3

1vs O 0.5+180

Athletics5/23

✓P✗✓✗✗✗✗P✗

H: 32.1%(28)A: 22.7%(22)

Stolen Bases

50g

avg 0.2

21.3%Over: 10-37-3

1vs O 0.5+1000

Athletics5/23

✓P✗✗✓✗✗✗P✗

H: 21.4%(28)A: 18.2%(22)

Doubles

50g

avg 0.1

21.3%Over: 10-37-3

1vs O 0.5+470

Athletics5/23

✓P✗✗✗✓✗✗P✗

H: 21.4%(28)A: 18.2%(22)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

50g

avg 1.1

61.7%Over: 29-18-3

2vs O 0.5-230

Athletics5/23

✓P✗✓✗✓✗✗P✗

H: 67.9%(28)A: 45.5%(22)

Singles

50g

avg 0.4

38.3%Over: 18-29-3

0vs O 0.5+114

Athletics5/23

✗P✗✓✗✗✗✗P✗

H: 46.4%(28)A: 22.7%(22)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.5★★★★★

5-Star Games

12(24%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Merrill's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	63.6%(7-4)	0%(0-11)	18.2%(2-9)
★★★★★	50%(7-7)	14.3%(2-12)	42.9%(6-8)
★★★★★	53.8%(7-6)	0%(0-13)	7.7%(1-12)
★★★★★	50%(4-4)	25%(2-6)	50%(4-4)
★★★★★	0%(0-3)	0%(0-3)	0%(0-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Luis Medina

5/24

Merrill is slugging .727 in his last 243 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Medina over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs J.T. Ginn

5/23

Matchup data is limited but favors Merrill.

★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs

5/22

Matchup data is limited but favors Springs.

Game Log

Bet

318-1178-97 Over1593 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/23	vsAthletics	Doubles	O 0.5	1	W	+470
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits	O 0.5	1	W	-180
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits	O 3.5	1	L	+15000
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits	O 2.5	1	L	+2000
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits	O 1.5	1	L	+340
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	2	L	+460
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	2	W	-230
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	2	W	+110
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	2	L	+220
5/23	vsAthletics	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+570
5/23	vsAthletics	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+650
5/23	vsAthletics	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+8000
5/23	vsAthletics	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+211
5/23	vsAthletics	Runs Scored	O 1.5	1	L	+1200
5/23	vsAthletics	Runs Scored	O 0.5	1	W	+155
5/23	vsAthletics	Singles	O 0.5	0	L	+114
5/23	vsAthletics	Total Bases	O 2.5	2	L	+315
5/23	vsAthletics	Total Bases	O 4.5	2	L	+1000
5/23	vsAthletics	Total Bases	O 3.5	2	L	+444
5/23	vsAthletics	Total Bases	O 1.5	2	W	+157
5/23	vsAthletics	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	1	W	+1000
5/23	vsAthletics	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	L	+300
5/23	vsAthletics	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	L	-204
5/23	vsAthletics	Walks	O 0.5	1	W	+180
5/23	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	2	L	+780
5/23	vsAthletics	Singles	O 1.5	0	L	+760
5/23	vsAthletics	Walks	O 1.5	1	L	+1220
5/23	vsAthletics	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	1	L	+12500
5/23	vsAthletics	RBIs	O 3.5	0	L	+6500
5/23	vsAthletics	RBIs	O 4.5	0	L	+5500
5/23	vsAthletics	RBIs	O 2.5	0	L	+2000
5/23	vsAthletics	Runs Scored	O 2.5	1	L	+3500
5/23	vsAthletics	Total Bases	O 0.5	2	W	-210
5/22	vsAthletics	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+460
5/22	vsAthletics	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-170
5/22	vsAthletics	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+370
5/22	vsAthletics	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+2200
5/22	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+120
5/22	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+500
5/22	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+260
5/22	vsAthletics	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+800
5/22	vsAthletics	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-210
5/22	vsAthletics	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+10000
5/22	vsAthletics	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+800
5/22	vsAthletics	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+230
5/22	vsAthletics	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+175
5/22	vsAthletics	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	+1600
5/22	vsAthletics	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+110
5/22	vsAthletics	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+1200
5/22	vsAthletics	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	+1400

San Diego Padres Teammates

View all

Fernando Tatis Jr.Xander Bogaerts Manny Machado Miguel Andujar Gavin Sheets Freddy Fermin Nick Castellanos Jake Cronenworth Ty France Luis Campusano Bryce Johnson Sung-Mun Song Michael King Walker Buehler Matt Waldron

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on hits 0.5?

Jackson Merrill hits the over on hits 0.5 53.2% of the time in 2026, going 25-22-3 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,142.

How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Jackson Merrill hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.5% of the time in 2026, going 4-43-3 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,740.

How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Jackson Merrill hits the over on rbis 0.5 27.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-34-3 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,108.

How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Jackson Merrill hits the over on runs scored 0.5 40.4% of the time in 2026, going 19-28-3 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$526.

How often does Jackson Merrill hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?

Jackson Merrill hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 63% of the time in 2026, going 29-17-3 with an average actual of 1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$203.

What are Jackson Merrill's best prop bets in 2026?

Jackson Merrill's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 63% (29-17); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 61.7% (29-18); Hits O 0.5 at 53.2% (25-22).