
68.8% HRR O 0.559.4% H O 0.553.1% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Isiah Kiner-Falefa propsProps — 202637 games with closing lines
Home Runs
37g6.3%Over: 2-30-5
0vs O 0.5+1200
@
Mariners6/20
PP✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 11.1%(18)A: 0%(19)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(7%)
Total Matchups
75Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kiner-Falefa's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-5) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(6-4) | 10%(1-9) | 20%(2-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 53.3%(8-7) | 6.7%(1-14) | 26.7%(4-11) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock
6/20Hancock has allowed a wOBA of just .238 against bottom-tier hitters like Kiner-Falefa over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Bryce Miller
6/19Kiner-Falefa has a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.9% in his last 38 AB's; League avg: 20.1%.
★★★★★vs Trey Yesavage
6/18Kiner-Falefa has a Well-Hit Rate of just 5.1% in 78 AB's against top tier right-handers like Yesavage over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-65-12 Over37g · 79 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/20 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6600 |
| 6/20 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1200 |
| 6/20 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/19 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6600 |
| 6/19 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/19 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/18 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +30000 |
| 6/18 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1260 |
| 6/18 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/17 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +30000 |
| 6/17 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 6/17 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/16 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 6/16 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 6/14 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 6/14 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 6/13 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +30000 |
| 6/13 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1240 |
| 6/12 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 6/12 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 6/10 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 6/10 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 6/9 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 6/9 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 6/8 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 6/8 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/7 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1620 |
| 6/7 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6600 |
| 6/6 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 6/6 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6600 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1260 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 6/4 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 6/4 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/3 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 6/3 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 6/2 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 6/2 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/31 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/31 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/30 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/30 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/29 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/29 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/28 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 5/28 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/27 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/27 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/26 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +40000 |
| 5/26 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1500 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Isiah Kiner-Falefa hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-30-5 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Isiah Kiner-Falefa over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 37 games in 2026, betting $100 on Isiah Kiner-Falefa over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$240 (-6.49% ROI). The hit rate is 6.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Isiah Kiner-Falefa's home runs average this season?
Isiah Kiner-Falefa averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 37 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge