Inside Edge
Chicago Cubs65.2% HRR O 0.562.5% BB O 0.554.2% SO O 1.5
Season
All Ian Happ propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Home Runs
50g18.8%Over: 9-39-2
0vs O 0.5+1150
vs
Brewers5/20
Brewers5/20✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗
H: 30.8%(26)A: 4.3%(23)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
13(26%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Happ's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 30.8%(4-9) | 30.8%(4-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(4-8) | 0%(0-12) | 16.7%(2-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 28.6%(2-5) | 42.9%(3-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 11.1%(1-8) | 11.1%(1-8) | 11.1%(1-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(5-3) | 25%(2-6) | 37.5%(3-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/22Arrighetti has allowed a batting avg of of .305 (39-for-128) against hitters like Happ over the last two years, but Happ has a well hit rate of 6.7% (League Avg: 20.1%) in his last five games.
★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
5/20Happ is batting just .100 over the last 5 days.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
5/19Happ is slugging .534 in his last 73 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Misiorowski over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-95-4 Over49g · 108 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/20 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7700 |
| 5/19 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 5/18 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 5/17 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +448 |
| 5/17 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +416 |
| 5/16 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/15 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +482 |
| 5/15 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5200 |
| 5/14 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/14 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +675 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/13 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 5/12 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5200 |
| 5/10 | @ Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/10 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/9 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5700 |
| 5/9 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/8 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +410 |
| 5/7 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/7 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 5/6 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +610 |
| 5/6 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +625 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5600 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 5/4 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/3 | vs Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/3 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 5/3 | vsDiamondbacks | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/2 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +630 |
| 5/1 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +660 |
| 5/1 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8800 |
| 4/29 | @ Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +468 |
| 4/29 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5400 |
| 4/28 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 4/28 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 4/26 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 4/26 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 4/25 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ian Happ hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Ian Happ hits the over on home runs 0.5 18.8% of the time in 2026, going 9-39-2 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Ian Happ over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ian Happ over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$470 (+9.4% ROI). The hit rate is 18.8% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Ian Happ's home runs average this season?
Ian Happ averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.