Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds56.3% HA O 4.553.8% K O 6.547.1% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Hunter Greene propsProps — 202520 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
20g50%Over: 10-10
5vs O 2.5+120
@
Dodgers9/30
Dodgers9/30✓✓✗✓✗✗✓✓✗✗
H: 0%(6)A: 85.7%(7)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
9(47%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Greene's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(4-4) | 33.3%(3-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(2-0) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/30Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Greene have an ERA of 5.18 against the Dodgers since last year.
★★★★★
9/24Current Pirates hitters have an OPS of .631 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Greene over the last two years.
★★★★★
9/18Current Cubs hitters are batting .232 in their last 779 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like like Greene, but other matchup data favors the Cubs.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-10 Over20g · 21 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +120 |
| 9/24 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -146 |
| 9/18 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +122 |
| 9/13 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -103 |
| 9/7 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 9/1 | vs Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 8/25 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 8/19 | @ Angels | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 8/19 | @Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 8/13 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 6/3 | vs Brewers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 5/28 | @ Royals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -155 |
| 5/23 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -135 |
| 5/7 | @ Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 5/2 | vs Nationals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 4/26 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 4/19 | @ Orioles | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +105 |
| 4/13 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 4/7 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 4/2 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -180 |
| 3/27 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -155 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Hunter Greene hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Hunter Greene hits the over on earned runs 2.5 46.2% of the time in 2025, going 6-7 with an average actual of 2.2.
Is Hunter Greene over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 20 games in 2025, betting $100 on Hunter Greene over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$75 (-3.75% ROI). The hit rate is 46.2% with an average actual of 2.2.
What is Hunter Greene's earned runs average this season?
Hunter Greene averages 2.2 earned runs per game in 2025 across 20 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.