
80% BBA O 1.575% ER O 2.566.7% HA O 5.5
Props — 20255 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
5g80%Over: 4-1
8vs O 3.5+110
@
Blue Jays5/31
✓✓✓✓✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 100%(1)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
5Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Hoglund's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 80%(4-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
5/31Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .256 against the Blue Jays over the last two years.
★★★★★
5/25Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .262 against the Phillies over the last two years.
★★★★★
5/20Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .240 against the Angels over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-1 Over5g · 5 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | @ | O 3.5 | 8 | W | +110 |
| 5/25 | vs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 5/20 | vs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -120 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -160 |
| 5/7 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Gunnar Hoglund hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Gunnar Hoglund hits the over on earned runs 2.5 75% of the time in 2025, going 3-1 with an average actual of 3.5.
Is Gunnar Hoglund over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 5 games in 2025, betting $100 on Gunnar Hoglund over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$216 (+43.2% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 3.5.
What is Gunnar Hoglund's earned runs average this season?
Gunnar Hoglund averages 3.5 earned runs per game in 2025 across 5 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Inside Edge