Atlanta Braves75% K O 3.575% BBA O 1.553.8% HA O 4.5
Season
All Grant Holmes propsProps — 202617 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
16g60%Over: 9-6-1
5vs O 4.5-130
vs
Mets7/3
Mets7/3✓✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✓
H: 62.5%(8)A: 33.3%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Holmes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(6-0) | 50%(2-2) | 16.7%(1-5) | 40%(2-3) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Christian Scott
7/3Current Mets hitters are batting .238 against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like like Holmes over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Michael King
6/22Padres hitters have a 1 star average matchup against Holmes.
★★★★★vs Adrian Houser
6/17Current Giants hitters are batting .228 against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like like Holmes over the the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-10-1 Over16g · 20 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | vsMets | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -130 |
| 6/22 | @ Padres | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 6/22 | @Padres | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -250 |
| 6/16 | vs Giants | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -150 |
| 6/9 | @ White Sox | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -140 |
| 6/9 | @White Sox | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 6/3 | vs Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +124 |
| 6/3 | vsBlue Jays | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -160 |
| 5/29 | @ Reds | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -118 |
| 5/23 | vs Nationals | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 5/17 | vs Red Sox | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 5/12 | vs Cubs | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 5/1 | @ Rockies | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -105 |
| 4/24 | vs Phillies | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -139 |
| 4/19 | @Phillies | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -135 |
| 4/13 | vs Marlins | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +117 |
| 4/13 | vsMarlins | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 4/8 | @ Angels | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +100 |
| 4/3 | @ Diamondbacks | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -141 |
| 3/29 | vs Royals | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -110 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Grant Holmes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Grant Holmes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6-1 with an average actual of 4.1.
Is Grant Holmes over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2026, betting $100 on Grant Holmes over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$170 (+10.63% ROI). The hit rate is 53.8% with an average actual of 4.1.
What is Grant Holmes's hits allowed average this season?
Grant Holmes averages 4.1 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge