Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves88.9% K O 3.583.3% BBA O 1.557.1% HA O 4.5
Season
All Grant Holmes propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
9g62.5%Over: 5-3-1
5vs O 4.5-115
vs
Red Sox5/17
Red Sox5/17✓✗✓✓✗✗✓P✓
H: 60%(5)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Holmes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
5/22Nationals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Holmes.
★★★★★vs Brayan Bello
5/17Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.16 against the Red Sox in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Red Sox.
★★★★★vs Colin Rea
5/12Cubs hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Holmes.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-4-1 Over9g · 10 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Grant Holmes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Grant Holmes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3-1 with an average actual of 3.8.
Is Grant Holmes over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Grant Holmes over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$141 (+15.67% ROI). The hit rate is 57.1% with an average actual of 3.8.
What is Grant Holmes's hits allowed average this season?
Grant Holmes averages 3.8 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.