Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves88.9% K O 3.583.3% BBA O 1.557.1% HA O 4.5
Season
All Grant Holmes propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g50%Over: 4-4-1
0vs O 2.5+125
vs
Red Sox5/17
Red Sox5/17✗✗✓✓✗✓✗P✓
H: 50%(4)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Holmes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
5/22Nationals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Holmes.
★★★★★vs Brayan Bello
5/17Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.16 against the Red Sox in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Red Sox.
★★★★★vs Colin Rea
5/12Cubs hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Holmes.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-5-1 Over9g · 10 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Grant Holmes hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Grant Holmes hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4-1 with an average actual of 2.1.
Is Grant Holmes over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Grant Holmes over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$21 (-2.33% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 2.1.
What is Grant Holmes's earned runs average this season?
Grant Holmes averages 2.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.