Atlanta Braves75% K O 3.575% BBA O 1.553.8% HA O 4.5
Season
All Grant Holmes propsProps — 202617 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
16g46.7%Over: 7-8-1
1vs O 2.5+100
vs
Mets7/3
Mets7/3✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 37.5%(8)A: 42.9%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Holmes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(6-0) | 50%(2-2) | 16.7%(1-5) | 40%(2-3) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Christian Scott
7/3Current Mets hitters are batting .238 against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like like Holmes over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Michael King
6/22Padres hitters have a 1 star average matchup against Holmes.
★★★★★vs Adrian Houser
6/17Current Giants hitters are batting .228 against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like like Holmes over the the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-10-1 Over16g · 19 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 6/22 | @ Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +129 |
| 6/22 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -176 |
| 6/16 | vs Giants | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +127 |
| 6/9 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -105 |
| 6/3 | vs Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -176 |
| 6/3 | vsBlue Jays | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 5/29 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -130 |
| 5/23 | vs Nationals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 5/17 | vs Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/17 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -163 |
| 5/12 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 5/1 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -117 |
| 4/24 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +118 |
| 4/19 | @Phillies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +111 |
| 4/13 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 4/8 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +124 |
| 4/3 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +106 |
| 3/29 | vs Royals | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Grant Holmes hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Grant Holmes hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 6-8-1 with an average actual of 2.1.
Is Grant Holmes over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2026, betting $100 on Grant Holmes over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$122 (-7.62% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 2.1.
What is Grant Holmes's earned runs average this season?
Grant Holmes averages 2.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge