New York Yankees75% K O 2.557.1% HA O 4.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
All Gerrit Cole propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g37.5%Over: 3-5
2vs O 2.5-105
vs
Twins7/3
Twins7/3✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 50%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(29%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cole's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Mike Paredes
7/3Current Twins hitters are batting .246 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Cole over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Jake Bennett
6/27Current Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .651 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Cole over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Framber Valdez
6/22Current Tigers hitters have struck out 22.6% of the time against pitchers similar to Cole over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-5 Over8g · 10 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 6/27 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +113 |
| 6/22 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +120 |
| 6/16 | vs White Sox | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 6/16 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -190 |
| 6/9 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -108 |
| 6/3 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 6/3 | vsGuardians | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 5/27 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +123 |
| 5/22 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -126 |
New York Yankees Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Gerrit Cole hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Gerrit Cole hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 2.7.
Is Gerrit Cole over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Gerrit Cole over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$142 (-17.75% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 2.7.
What is Gerrit Cole's earned runs average this season?
Gerrit Cole averages 2.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge