Colorado Rockies64.3% HRR O 0.556% H O 0.536.9% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Ezequiel Tovar propsProps — 202693 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
93g28.6%Over: 24-60-9
2vs O 0.5+185
@
Dodgers7/6
Dodgers7/6✓✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 21.3%(47)A: 31.1%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
11(12%)
Total Matchups
91Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Tovar's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 18.2%(2-9) | 0%(0-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 61.1%(11-7) | 22.2%(4-14) | 11.1%(2-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 60.9%(14-9) | 26.1%(6-17) | 13%(3-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.9%(11-8) | 26.3%(5-14) | 5.3%(1-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 30%(6-14) | 15%(3-17) | 5%(1-19) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Justin Wrobleski
7/7Tovar has a Well-Hit Rate of just 9.1% in 44 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Wrobleski over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Eric Lauer
7/6Tovar is batting just .200 (15-for-75) against left-handers with avg flyball rates like Lauer over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle
7/5Tovar is slugging .451 against bottom tier right-handers over the last two years but has a well hit rate of 10.8% in his last 83 AB's (League Avg: 19.5%).
Game Log
Bet
$
30-224-24 Over92g · 278 props
Colorado Rockies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ezequiel Tovar hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Ezequiel Tovar hits the over on runs scored 0.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 24-60-9 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Ezequiel Tovar over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 93 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ezequiel Tovar over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$2,197 (-23.62% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Ezequiel Tovar's runs scored average this season?
Ezequiel Tovar averages 0.3 runs scored per game in 2026 across 93 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge