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Players/MLB/Pittsburgh Pirates/Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez

Pittsburgh Pirates•2026
.248AVG14HR41RBI35R50H0SB61G
.248AVG14HR41RBI35R50H0SB61G
56.4% TB O 0.556.1% H O 0.549.1% HRR O 1.5
Best Performer

Esmerlyn Valdez goes over 0.5 total bases 56.4% of the time (31-24-6)

Props — 202666 games with closing lines

Doubles

66g
avg 0.2
19.3%Over: 11-46-9
0vs O 0.5+550
@Dodgers8/23
✗✓P✗✗✗✓✗✓✗
H: 17.2%(29)A: 15.2%(33)

Hits

66g
avg 0.6
56.1%Over: 32-25-9
0vs O 0.5-110
@Dodgers8/23
✗✓P✗✗✗✓✓✓✓
H: 48.3%(29)A: 48.5%(33)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

66g
avg 1.2
49.1%Over: 28-29-9
0vs O 1.5+150
@Dodgers8/23
✗✓P✗✗✗✓✓✓✓
H: 37.9%(29)A: 45.5%(33)

Singles

66g
avg 0.3
31.6%Over: 18-39-9
0vs O 0.5+195
@Dodgers8/23
✗✓P✗✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 27.6%(29)A: 27.3%(33)

Home Runs

66g
avg 0
21.1%Over: 12-45-9
0vs O 0.5+459
@Dodgers8/23
✗✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 20.7%(29)A: 15.2%(33)

RBIs

66g
avg 0.2
36.8%Over: 21-36-9
0vs O 0.5+246
@Dodgers8/23
✗✗P✗✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 27.6%(29)A: 33.3%(33)

Total Bases

66g
avg 0.9
56.1%Over: 32-25-9
0vs O 0.5-110
@Dodgers8/23
✗✓P✗✗✗✓✓✓✓
H: 51.9%(27)A: 50%(32)

Runs Scored

66g
avg 0.4
43.9%Over: 25-32-9
0vs O 0.5+150
@Dodgers8/23
✗✓P✗✓✗✓✗✓✓
H: 37.9%(29)A: 39.4%(33)

Strikeouts

65g
avg 1.4
43.9%Over: 25-32-8
3vs O 1.5-138
@Dodgers8/23
✓✗P✓✗✓✗✓✓✗
H: 41.4%(29)A: 37.5%(32)

Walks

65g
avg 0.8
45.6%Over: 26-31-8
1vs O 0.5+111
@Dodgers8/23
✓✓P✗✓✗✓✗✗✗
H: 41.4%(29)A: 40.6%(32)

Stolen Bases

63g
avg 0
0%Over: 0-55-8
0vs O 0.5+1400
@Dodgers8/23
✗✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(27)A: 0%(32)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(4%)
Total Matchups
69
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)0%(0-3)33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★61.9%(13-8)23.8%(5-16)38.1%(8-13)
★★★★★37.5%(6-10)12.5%(2-14)18.8%(3-13)
★★★★★55.6%(10-8)22.2%(4-14)38.9%(7-11)
★★★★★25%(1-3)0%(0-4)25%(1-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Blake Snell
8/23

Valdez is batting just .198 in his last 86 AB's.

★★★★★vs Tarik Skubal
8/22

Valdez does not have a well hit ball in 12 AB's over the last 5 days.

★★★★★vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
8/21

Valdez is batting just .175 (7-for-40) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
493-1650-299 Over2442 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/23@DodgersHitsO 0.50L-110
8/23@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-160
8/23@DodgersHome RunsO 0.50L+459
8/23@DodgersRBIsO 0.50L+246
8/23@DodgersRuns ScoredO 0.50L+150
8/23@DodgersTotal BasesO 0.50L-110
8/23@DodgersWalksO 0.51W+111
8/23@DodgersDoublesO 0.50L+550
8/23@DodgersHitsO 1.50L+500
8/23@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+476
8/23@DodgersRBIsO 1.50L+700
8/23@DodgersRuns ScoredO 1.50L+950
8/23@DodgersSinglesO 0.50L+195
8/23@DodgersStolen BasesO 0.50L+1400
8/23@DodgersStrikeoutsO 3.53L—
8/23@DodgersStrikeoutsO 2.53W+326
8/23@DodgersTotal BasesO 3.50L+400
8/23@DodgersWalksO 1.51L+680
8/23@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+150
8/23@DodgersHome RunsO 1.50L+6000
8/23@DodgersTotal BasesO 4.50L+1000
8/23@DodgersTotal BasesO 2.50L+325
8/23@DodgersTotal BasesO 1.50L+200
8/23@DodgersHitsO 2.50L+2700
8/23@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+890
8/23@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+254
8/23@DodgersSinglesO 1.50L—
8/23@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.50L—
8/23@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L—
8/23@DodgersRBIsO 2.50L+2200
8/23@DodgersTotal BasesO 5.50L—
8/23@DodgersStrikeoutsO 1.53W-138
8/23@DodgersStrikeoutsO 0.53W-960
8/23@DodgersStolen BasesO 1.50L+10000
8/23@DodgersDoublesO 1.50L—
8/23@DodgersHome RunsO 2.50L—
8/23@DodgersRuns ScoredO 2.50L+4500
8/23@DodgersHitsO 3.50L+17500
8/23@DodgersRBIsO 3.50L+6500
8/23@DodgersRBIsO 4.50L+5500
8/22@DodgersDoublesO 0.51W+574
8/22@DodgersHitsO 0.52W-109
8/22@DodgersHitsO 1.52W+573
8/22@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.53W-143
8/22@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.53W+159
8/22@DodgersHome RunsO 1.50L+3800
8/22@DodgersHome RunsO 0.50L+390
8/22@DodgersRBIsO 1.50L+750
8/22@DodgersRuns ScoredO 1.51L+1060
8/22@DodgersRBIsO 0.50L+246

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all
Bryan ReynoldsBrandon LoweNick GonzalesHenry DavisJake MangumRyan O'HearnJared TrioloMarcell OzunaSpencer HorwitzOneil CruzKonnor GriffinJacob GonzalezJoey BartTyler CallihanNick Yorke

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on doubles 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on doubles 0.5 19.3% of the time in 2026, going 11-46-9 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$315.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on hits 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on hits 0.5 56.1% of the time in 2026, going 32-25-9 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$504.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5 49.1% of the time in 2026, going 28-29-9 with an average actual of 1.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$88.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on singles 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on singles 0.5 31.6% of the time in 2026, going 18-39-9 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,286.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on home runs 0.5 21.1% of the time in 2026, going 12-45-9 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$1,933.
What are Esmerlyn Valdez's best prop bets in 2026?
Esmerlyn Valdez's highest-hitting props in 2026: Total Bases O 0.5 at 56.4% (31-24); Hits O 0.5 at 56.1% (32-25); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 1.5 at 49.1% (28-29).

Esmerlyn Valdez 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.66 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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