Pittsburgh Pirates84.2% SO O 0.563.2% H O 0.563.2% HRR O 0.5
Best Performer
Esmerlyn Valdez goes over 0.5 strikeouts 84.2% of the time (16-3-2)
Props — 202622 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
27Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 42.9%(3-4) | 71.4%(5-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(3-4) | 0%(0-7) | 14.3%(1-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Hurston Waldrep
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Valdez.
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
7/5Matchup data is limited but favors Cavalli.
★★★★★vs Carson Palmquist
7/4Matchup data is limited but favors Valdez.
Game Log
Bet
$
187-504-78 Over769 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | vs Braves | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +300 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +467 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -190 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -275 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +480 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +451 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +162 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +725 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +120 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +110 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +150 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +280 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +390 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +750 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +551 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +315 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +175 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Walks | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +181 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1500 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -190 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Singles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +600 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +3500 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -295 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +210 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Walks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +1220 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Hits | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +12500 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Doubles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/7 | vsBraves | Strikeouts | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1040 |
| 7/5 | @ Nationals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -275 |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +167 |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -118 |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +515 |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +294 |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +167 |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 7/5 | @Nationals | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on doubles 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on doubles 0.5 21.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-15-3 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$345.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on hits 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on hits 0.5 63.2% of the time in 2026, going 12-7-3 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$33.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5 63.2% of the time in 2026, going 12-7-3 with an average actual of 2.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$147.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on singles 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on singles 0.5 42.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-11-3 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$45.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Esmerlyn Valdez hits the over on home runs 0.5 26.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-14-3 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,063.
What are Esmerlyn Valdez's best prop bets in 2026?
Esmerlyn Valdez's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 84.2% (16-3); Hits O 0.5 at 63.2% (12-7); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 63.2% (12-7).
Inside Edge