Inside Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates73.9% HRR O 0.560% H O 0.540% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Enmanuel Valdez propsProps — 202525 games with closing lines
Home Runs
25g8%Over: 2-23
0vs O 0.5+850
@
Cardinals5/7
Cardinals5/7✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗
H: 7.7%(13)A: 8.3%(12)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
36Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 14.3%(1-6) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(7-0) | 0%(0-7) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 37.5%(3-5) | 12.5%(1-7) | 25%(2-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bryce Elder
5/9Valdez is slugging .486 against right-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years but is batting just .197 (13-for-66) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Elder.
★★★★★vs Sonny Gray
5/7Valdez is batting just .182 (16-for-88) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
5/6Valdez has a Well-Hit Rate of just 6.2% in 16 AB's against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Liberatore over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 19.8%.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-41 Over25g · 43 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/7 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/7 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/5 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9500 |
| 5/5 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 5/4 | vs Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 5/3 | vsPadres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 5/2 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | vsPadres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/1 | vs Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 5/1 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 4/27 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +680 |
| 4/26 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 4/26 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 4/25 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 4/25 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 4/23 | @ Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 4/23 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 4/22 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 4/22 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 4/19 | vs Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +575 |
| 4/19 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/18 | vsGuardians | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +725 |
| 4/18 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 4/17 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 4/16 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/15 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 4/15 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 4/14 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 4/14 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/13 | @ Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 4/13 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 4/12 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +825 |
| 4/11 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 4/11 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9500 |
| 4/8 | vsCardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 4/8 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 4/6 | vs Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/5 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 4/5 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 4/1 | @ Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/1 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +560 |
| 3/30 | @ Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 3/30 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +13000 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Enmanuel Valdez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Enmanuel Valdez hits the over on home runs 0.5 8% of the time in 2025, going 2-23 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Enmanuel Valdez over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 25 games in 2025, betting $100 on Enmanuel Valdez over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$895 (-35.8% ROI). The hit rate is 8% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Enmanuel Valdez's home runs average this season?
Enmanuel Valdez averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2025 across 25 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.