Inside Edge
Kansas City Royals57.1% H O 0.557.1% HRR O 0.557.1% RBI O 0.5
Season
All Elias Diaz propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
9g57.1%Over: 4-3-2
1vs O 0.5+192
vs
Red Sox5/20
Red Sox5/20✓✓P✗✗✗✓P✓
H: 50%(6)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(3%)
Total Matchups
29Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Diaz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Logan Gilbert
5/22Diaz is batting just .191 (22-for-115) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Gilbert over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Connelly Early
5/20nan like Diaz have a Well-Hit Rate of just 5.3% against Early over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Ranger Suarez
5/19Matchup data is limited but favors Diaz.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-16-5 Over9g · 25 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1400 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +192 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/19 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +200 |
| 5/19 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1900 |
| 5/19 | vsRed Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5000 |
| 5/14 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +155 |
| 5/14 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +4000 |
| 5/14 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 5/13 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 5/13 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 5/13 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/10 | vs Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 5/10 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/10 | vsTigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/6 | vs Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/6 | vsGuardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 5/6 | vsGuardians | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/30 | @ Athletics | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +150 |
| 4/30 | @Athletics | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +7500 |
| 4/30 | @Athletics | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1000 |
| 4/26 | vs Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +165 |
| 4/26 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 4/24 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +205 |
| 4/24 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1700 |
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Elias Diaz hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Elias Diaz hits the over on runs scored 0.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3-2 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Elias Diaz over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Elias Diaz over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$447 (+49.67% ROI). The hit rate is 57.1% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Elias Diaz's runs scored average this season?
Elias Diaz averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.