
68.2% H O 0.568.2% HRR O 0.554.5% RBI O 0.5
Season
All Elias Diaz propsProps — 202631 games with closing lines
Home Runs
31g22.7%Over: 5-17-9
0vs O 0.5+680
vs
Tigers7/5
✗✗✓✓✗✗✗P✗P
H: 14.3%(14)A: 17.6%(17)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(5%)
Total Matchups
56Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Diaz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 0%(0-8) | 37.5%(3-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 46.2%(6-7) | 15.4%(2-11) | 38.5%(5-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs José Soriano
7/7Diaz has a Well-Hit Rate of just 4.5% in 22 AB's against top tier right-handers like Soriano over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Casey Mize
7/5Diaz has a wOBA of just .249 in his last 83 PA's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Mize over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
7/4Diaz is batting just .173 (9-for-52) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Flaherty over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-49-18 Over31g · 72 props
Texas Rangers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Elias Diaz hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Elias Diaz hits the over on home runs 0.5 22.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-17-9 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Elias Diaz over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 31 games in 2026, betting $100 on Elias Diaz over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$3,090 (+99.68% ROI). The hit rate is 22.7% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Elias Diaz's home runs average this season?
Elias Diaz averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 31 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge