Tampa Bay Rays75% K O 4.566.7% OUT O 17.543.8% HA O 4.5
Season
All Drew Rasmussen propsProps — 202619 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
18g43.8%Over: 7-9-2
6vs O 4.5-135
@
Astros7/4
Astros7/4✓✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✓✗
H: 33.3%(9)A: 44.4%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(28%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Rasmussen's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 25%(1-3) | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | — | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Hunter Brown
7/4Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.53 against the Astros in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Astros.
★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
6/28Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Diamondbacks.
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
6/22Pitchers with similar repertoires to Rasmussen have an ERA of 4.55 against the Royals over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-13-3 Over18g · 27 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @Astros | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -135 |
| 6/28 | vs Diamondbacks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +105 |
| 6/22 | vs Royals | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 6/16 | @ Dodgers | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -135 |
| 6/16 | @Dodgers | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 6/10 | vs Red Sox | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -140 |
| 6/10 | vsRed Sox | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +124 |
| 6/5 | @ Marlins | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
| 6/5 | @Marlins | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +124 |
| 5/30 | vs Angels | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -110 |
| 5/24 | @ Yankees | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 5/17 | vsMarlins | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -155 |
| 5/17 | vsMarlins | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +125 |
| 5/11 | @ Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +114 |
| 5/11 | @Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -161 |
| 5/5 | vsBlue Jays | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -105 |
| 4/29 | @ Guardians | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 4/29 | @Guardians | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -160 |
| 4/24 | vs Twins | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +123 |
| 4/24 | vsTwins | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -150 |
| 4/18 | @ Pirates | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -131 |
| 4/12 | vsYankees | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +122 |
| 4/12 | vsYankees | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 4/7 | vs Cubs | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +114 |
| 4/7 | vsCubs | O 3.5 | 0 | P | -172 |
| 4/1 | @ Brewers | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +116 |
| 3/26 | @ Cardinals | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +109 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Drew Rasmussen hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Drew Rasmussen hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 43.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-9-2 with an average actual of 3.7.
Is Drew Rasmussen over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Drew Rasmussen over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$234 (-13% ROI). The hit rate is 43.8% with an average actual of 3.7.
What is Drew Rasmussen's hits allowed average this season?
Drew Rasmussen averages 3.7 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge