Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves67.7% HRR O 0.564.7% H O 0.545.2% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Dominic Smith propsProps — 202634 games with closing lines
Home Runs
32g12.5%Over: 4-28
0vs O 0.5+820
@
Marlins5/21
Marlins5/21✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 7.1%(14)A: 16.7%(18)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
26(51%)
Total Matchups
51Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Smith's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 68.8%(11-5) | 25%(4-12) | 6.3%(1-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(6-3) | 44.4%(4-5) | 12.5%(1-7) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
5/22Smith has a wOBA of .431 with 6 HR's in his last 114 PA's against bottom tier right-handers like Mikolas over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
5/21Smith is batting just .217 (5-23) against Alcantara.
★★★★★vs Janson Junk
5/20Smith has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.1% in 37 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Junk over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-63 Over32g · 67 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 5/21 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/20 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/20 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +725 |
| 5/19 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 5/19 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 5/18 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/18 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +960 |
| 5/17 | vs Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/17 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 5/14 | vs Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/14 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 5/12 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/12 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 5/8 | @ Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/8 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/6 | @ Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/6 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 5/5 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/5 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/4 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/4 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/2 | @ Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +551 |
| 5/2 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6400 |
| 4/29 | vs Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/29 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 4/28 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 4/28 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/26 | vs Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +670 |
| 4/26 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7900 |
| 4/25 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +740 |
| 4/25 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/24 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 4/24 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/23 | @ Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/23 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 4/22 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/22 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 4/20 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +890 |
| 4/20 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/19 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +780 |
| 4/19 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9600 |
| 4/17 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +950 |
| 4/17 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +17500 |
| 4/15 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 4/15 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/15 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/14 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 4/14 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/14 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Dominic Smith hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Dominic Smith hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.5% of the time in 2026, going 4-28 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Dominic Smith over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 32 games in 2026, betting $100 on Dominic Smith over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$834 (+26.06% ROI). The hit rate is 12.5% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Dominic Smith's home runs average this season?
Dominic Smith averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 32 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.