
57.1% H O 0.545% 1B O 0.541% HRR O 1.5
Season
All Dominic Smith propsProps — 202666 games with closing lines
Home Runs
63g8.2%Over: 5-56-2
0vs O 0.5+910
@
Pirates7/7
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 6.5%(31)A: 9.4%(32)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
28(19%)
Total Matchups
150Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Smith's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 68.4%(13-6) | 31.6%(6-13) | 5.3%(1-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(2-6) | 25%(2-6) | 12.5%(1-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 63.6%(7-4) | 27.3%(3-8) | 10%(1-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(8-6) | 35.7%(5-9) | 7.7%(1-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 18.2%(2-9) | 0%(0-11) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Paul Skenes
7/7Smith has a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.7% in 52 AB's against top tier right-handers like Skenes over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
7/6Smith has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8% in 50 AB's against top tier right-handers like Peralta over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
7/5Smith is batting just .149 (7-for-47) against top tier right-handers like McLean over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-132-5 Over63g · 142 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Dominic Smith hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Dominic Smith hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.2% of the time in 2026, going 5-56-2 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Dominic Smith over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 63 games in 2026, betting $100 on Dominic Smith over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$966 (-15.33% ROI). The hit rate is 8.2% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Dominic Smith's home runs average this season?
Dominic Smith averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 63 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge