Washington Nationals72% HRR O 0.560% H O 0.556% R O 0.5
Season
All Curtis Mead propsProps — 202627 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
27g56%Over: 14-11-2
1vs O 0.5+155
@
Braves5/22
Braves5/22✓✗✓P✓✓✓P✓✗
H: 46.7%(15)A: 58.3%(12)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
43Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mead's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(5-3) | 12.5%(1-7) | 0%(0-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 54.5%(6-5) | 45.5%(5-6) | 18.2%(2-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/23Mead does not have a well-hit in 14 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Holmes over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/22Mead does not have a well-hit in 13 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Holmes over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs David Peterson
5/21Mead is favored in some matchup categories today but is batting just .203 (13-for-64) against left-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
16-54-3 Over27g · 73 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/22 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +155 |
| 5/22 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +950 |
| 5/22 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 5/21 | vs Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/21 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +132 |
| 5/21 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/20 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +105 |
| 5/20 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +700 |
| 5/20 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/19 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +125 |
| 5/19 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +900 |
| 5/16 | vs Orioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +110 |
| 5/16 | vsOrioles | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +2800 |
| 5/16 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +625 |
| 5/15 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +130 |
| 5/15 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +725 |
| 5/15 | vsOrioles | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +3500 |
| 5/13 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +650 |
| 5/13 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +123 |
| 5/13 | @Reds | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +3500 |
| 5/9 | @ Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +134 |
| 5/8 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +123 |
| 5/8 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +800 |
| 5/8 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/7 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 5/7 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 5/7 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 5/6 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +750 |
| 5/6 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +125 |
| 5/6 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/5 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 5/5 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 5/5 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/2 | vs Brewers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +150 |
| 5/2 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1000 |
| 5/2 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +6500 |
| 5/1 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/1 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +168 |
| 5/1 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 4 | W | +174 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 4 | W | +1100 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +8000 |
| 4/26 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 4/26 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +143 |
| 4/26 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 4/25 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +133 |
| 4/25 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +5500 |
| 4/25 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +800 |
| 4/23 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 4/23 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +113 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Curtis Mead hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Curtis Mead hits the over on runs scored 0.5 56% of the time in 2026, going 14-11-2 with an average actual of 0.6.
Is Curtis Mead over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 27 games in 2026, betting $100 on Curtis Mead over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$828 (+30.67% ROI). The hit rate is 56% with an average actual of 0.6.
What is Curtis Mead's runs scored average this season?
Curtis Mead averages 0.6 runs scored per game in 2026 across 27 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge