Inside Edge
Washington Nationals70.8% HRR O 0.558.3% H O 0.554.2% R O 0.5
Season
All Curtis Mead propsProps — 202626 games with closing lines
Home Runs
26g12.5%Over: 3-21-2
0vs O 0.5+940
vs
Mets5/21
Mets5/21✗✗P✗✗✗P✗✗✗
H: 13.3%(15)A: 9.1%(11)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
42Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mead's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(5-3) | 12.5%(1-7) | 0%(0-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 54.5%(6-5) | 45.5%(5-6) | 18.2%(2-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/22Mead does not have a well-hit in 13 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Holmes over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs David Peterson
5/21Mead is favored in some matchup categories today but is batting just .203 (13-for-64) against left-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Zach Thornton
5/20Mead has an OPS of .950 in his last 33 PA's.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-45-4 Over26g · 52 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +940 |
| 5/21 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/20 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/20 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/19 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +820 |
| 5/19 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 5/16 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/16 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/15 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8200 |
| 5/15 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 5/13 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/13 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +568 |
| 5/9 | @ Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +9600 |
| 5/9 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +780 |
| 5/8 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/8 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 5/7 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/7 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/6 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/6 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/5 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 5/5 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | vs Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/1 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 5/1 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +20000 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1180 |
| 4/26 | @ White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/26 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 4/25 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +870 |
| 4/25 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/23 | vs Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 4/23 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 4/22 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 4/22 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 4/19 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +790 |
| 4/19 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 4/15 | @ Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 4/15 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/15 | @Pirates | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/12 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 4/11 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/11 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 4/10 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/10 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/7 | vs Cardinals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +840 |
| 4/7 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +15000 |
| 4/4 | vs Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/4 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Curtis Mead hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Curtis Mead hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-21-2 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Curtis Mead over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 26 games in 2026, betting $100 on Curtis Mead over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$710 (+27.31% ROI). The hit rate is 12.5% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Curtis Mead's home runs average this season?
Curtis Mead averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 26 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.