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Players/MLB/Minnesota Twins/Connor Prielipp/Earned Runs
Connor Prielipp

Connor Prielipp

Minnesota Twins•Pitcher•2026
5.64ERA101K92.5IP9.8K/918G
5.64ERA101K92.5IP9.8K/918G
78.6% BBA O 1.555.6% K O 5.552.9% ER O 2.5
All Connor Prielipp props

Props — 202618 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

18g
avg 3.2
55.6%Over: 10-8
6vs O 2.5+125
@Padres8/21
✓✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓✗
H: 33.3%(9)A: 75%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
40%
60%
0%
100%
Apr
0-2
May
2-3
Jun
3-2
Jul
0-1
Aug
4-0
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(8%)
Total Matchups
12
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Prielipp's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsEarned RunsO 2.5Outs RecordedO 15.5Pitcher KsO 5.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★—0%(0-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★75%(3-1)66.7%(2-1)50%(2-2)75%(3-1)75%(3-1)
★★★★★100%(2-0)0%(0-2)50%(1-1)100%(2-0)100%(2-0)
★★★★★50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★100%(3-0)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)100%(3-0)100%(2-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Randy Vásquez
8/21

Current Padres hitters have an OPS of .607 against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Prielipp over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Jesús Luzardo
8/15

Not enough matchup data.

★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
8/9

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Prielipp have an ERA of 4.69 against the Brewers over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
15-9 Over18g · 24 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/21@PadresO 2.56W+125
8/15vsPhilliesO 2.58W+116
8/9@BrewersO 2.53W+116
8/1@MarinersO 2.53W+127
7/26vsAthleticsO 2.51L—
7/26vsAthleticsO 1.51L-143
7/8vsGuardiansO 1.53W-165
6/28vsRockiesO 2.52L+115
6/28vsRockiesO 1.52W-175
6/19@DiamondbacksO 2.53W-124
6/13vsCardinalsO 2.54W+115
6/13vsCardinalsO 1.54W-185
6/7vsRoyalsO 2.52L-102
6/2vsWhite SoxO 2.54W+110
6/2vsWhite SoxO 1.54W-170
5/27@White SoxO 2.56W+110
5/27@White SoxO 1.56W-167
5/22@Red SoxO 2.55W+131
5/16vsBrewersO 2.51L+114
5/8@GuardiansO 2.51L+105
5/2vsBlue JaysO 1.52W-168
5/2vsBlue JaysO 2.52L+127
4/27vsMarinersO 2.52L+120
4/22@MetsO 2.52L+115

Minnesota Twins Teammates

View all
Luke KeaschallJosh BellBrooks LeeKody ClemensByron BuxtonRoyce LewisTrevor LarnachVictor CaratiniAustin MartinRyan JeffersRyan KreidlerTristan GrayJames OutmanMatt WallnerAlan Roden

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Connor Prielipp hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Connor Prielipp hits the over on earned runs 2.5 52.9% of the time in 2026, going 9-8 with an average actual of 3.2.
Is Connor Prielipp over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Connor Prielipp over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$391 (+21.72% ROI). The hit rate is 52.9% with an average actual of 3.2.
What is Connor Prielipp's earned runs average this season?
Connor Prielipp averages 3.2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Connor Prielipp 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.18 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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