Minnesota Twins83.3% K O 2.577.8% BBA O 1.550% HA O 4.5
Props — 202612 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
12g41.7%Over: 5-7
2vs O 2.5+115
vs
Rockies6/28
Rockies6/28✗✓✓✗✓✓✓✗✗✗
H: 28.6%(7)A: 60%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Prielipp's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Ryan Feltner
6/28Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .244 against the Rockies over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Michael Soroka
6/19Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .288 against the Diamondbacks over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
6/13Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .270 against the Cardinals over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-7 Over12g · 17 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/28 | vsRockies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 6/28 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 6/19 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -124 |
| 6/13 | vs Cardinals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 6/13 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -185 |
| 6/7 | vs Royals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -102 |
| 6/2 | vs White Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 6/2 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -170 |
| 5/27 | @White Sox | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +110 |
| 5/27 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -167 |
| 5/22 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +131 |
| 5/16 | vs Brewers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +114 |
| 5/8 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 5/2 | vs Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -168 |
| 5/2 | vsBlue Jays | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +127 |
| 4/27 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 4/22 | @ Mets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Connor Prielipp hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Connor Prielipp hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-7 with an average actual of 2.8.
Is Connor Prielipp over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 12 games in 2026, betting $100 on Connor Prielipp over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$153 (-12.75% ROI). The hit rate is 41.7% with an average actual of 2.8.
What is Connor Prielipp's earned runs average this season?
Connor Prielipp averages 2.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 12 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge