Inside Edge
Seattle Mariners75% SO O 0.550% H O 0.550% HRR O 0.5
Season
All Connor Joe propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Home Runs
11g12.5%Over: 1-7-3
0vs O 0.5+1000
vs
White Sox5/19
White Sox5/19✗✗P✗✗✓P✗✗P
H: 14.3%(7)A: 0%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(3%)
Total Matchups
39Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Joe's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Noah Cameron
5/22Joe is batting just .150 (9-for-60) against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cameron over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
5/20Joe is batting just .171 (6-for-35) against bottom tier right-handers like Burke over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
5/19Joe has a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.4% in 27 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Kay over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-15-5 Over11g · 21 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/19 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/18 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/18 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +7700 |
| 5/9 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +670 |
| 5/6 | vs Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/6 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 5/3 | vs Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/3 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/1 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +930 |
| 5/1 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +17500 |
| 4/27 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 4/26 | @ Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 4/26 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 4/25 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 4/25 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/21 | vs Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +875 |
| 4/21 | vsAthletics | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 4/19 | vs Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 4/19 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
Seattle Mariners Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Connor Joe hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Connor Joe hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.5% of the time in 2026, going 1-7-3 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Connor Joe over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Connor Joe over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$230 (+20.91% ROI). The hit rate is 12.5% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Connor Joe's home runs average this season?
Connor Joe averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.