Inside Edge
Clayton Kershaw
Los Angeles DodgersReg3.43 ERA / 84 K / 110.1 IP / 6.9 K/9 / 23G
Post17.14 ERA / 0 K / 2.1 IP / 0.0 K/9 / 2G
63.6% HA O 4.540% BBA O 1.531.3% K O 3.5
Season
All Clayton Kershaw propsProps — 202522 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
22g36.4%Over: 8-14
0vs O 1.5-110
@
Mariners9/28
Mariners9/28✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✗✗
H: 14.3%(7)A: 33.3%(9)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(5%)
Total Matchups
21Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kershaw's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | — | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | — | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(3-6) | 25%(3-9) | 57.1%(4-3) | 30.8%(4-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Current Mariners hitters have struck out 22.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Kershaw over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Mariners.
★★★★★
9/19Giants hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Kershaw.
★★★★★
9/13Current Giants hitters are batting .243 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Kershaw over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-17 Over22g · 26 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 9/19 | vs Giants | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 9/19 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 9/13 | @Giants | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +128 |
| 9/7 | @ Orioles | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 9/2 | @ Pirates | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -155 |
| 8/26 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -185 |
| 8/26 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 8/21 | @ Rockies | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 8/21 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -155 |
| 8/15 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 8/8 | vs Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 8/1 | @ Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 7/26 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -135 |
| 7/20 | vs Brewers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +135 |
| 7/20 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 7/8 | @Brewers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 7/2 | vs White Sox | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -135 |
| 6/26 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 6/20 | vs Nationals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -160 |
| 6/14 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 6/8 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 6/3 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +120 |
| 5/28 | @ Guardians | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 5/23 | @Mets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 5/17 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Clayton Kershaw hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Clayton Kershaw hits the over on earned runs 2.5 25% of the time in 2025, going 4-12 with an average actual of 1.6.
Is Clayton Kershaw over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 22 games in 2025, betting $100 on Clayton Kershaw over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$725 (-32.95% ROI). The hit rate is 25% with an average actual of 1.6.
What is Clayton Kershaw's earned runs average this season?
Clayton Kershaw averages 1.6 earned runs per game in 2025 across 22 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.