Inside Edge
64.3% HA O 4.559.1% ER O 2.546.2% BBA O 2.5
Season
All Charlie Morton propsProps — 202527 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
26g57.7%Over: 15-11
5vs O 4.5+126
vs
Braves9/19
Braves9/19✓✗✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(9)A: 60%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(13%)
Total Matchups
32Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Morton's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(3-3) | 80%(4-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 71.4%(5-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(2-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.81 against the Pirates in the past 30 days.
★★★★★
9/19Current Braves hitters are batting .274 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Morton over the last two years.
★★★★★
9/13Current Marlins hitters are batting .281 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Morton over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
16-11 Over26g · 27 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/19 | vsBraves | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +126 |
| 9/13 | @ Marlins | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 9/7 | vs White Sox | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +100 |
| 9/1 | vs Mets | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -125 |
| 8/26 | @ Athletics | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -120 |
| 8/20 | vs Astros | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -120 |
| 8/15 | @ Twins | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -140 |
| 8/9 | vs Angels | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -155 |
| 8/9 | vsAngels | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 8/3 | @ Phillies | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 7/29 | vs Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -140 |
| 7/24 | @ Guardians | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -165 |
| 7/18 | @ Rays | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +100 |
| 7/10 | vsMets | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -140 |
| 7/4 | @Braves | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 6/24 | vs Rangers | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 6/19 | @Rays | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 6/13 | vsAngels | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +120 |
| 6/7 | @Athletics | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 6/1 | vsWhite Sox | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -135 |
| 5/26 | vs Cardinals | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 5/7 | @Twins | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 4/20 | vs Reds | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -140 |
| 4/15 | vsGuardians | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -165 |
| 4/8 | @ Diamondbacks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 4/3 | vs Red Sox | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -145 |
| 3/28 | @Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -145 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Charlie Morton hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Charlie Morton hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 64.3% of the time in 2025, going 9-5 with an average actual of 5.1.
Is Charlie Morton over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 26 games in 2025, betting $100 on Charlie Morton over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$114 (+4.38% ROI). The hit rate is 64.3% with an average actual of 5.1.
What is Charlie Morton's hits allowed average this season?
Charlie Morton averages 5.1 hits allowed per game in 2025 across 26 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.