
84.4% HRR O 0.573.9% H O 0.568.9% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Chandler Simpson propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Strikeouts
48g35.6%Over: 16-29-3
1vs O 0.5+121
vs
Orioles5/20
✓✓✗✓✗✗✓P✗✗
H: 37.5%(24)A: 29.2%(24)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(6%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Simpson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(10-5) | 13.3%(2-13) | 0%(0-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 68%(17-8) | 24%(6-19) | 0%(0-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gerrit Cole
5/22Simpson is batting .333 (8-for-24) against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Cole over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
5/20Baz has allowed a batting avg of of .300 (12-for-40) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years, but Baz has allowed a Well-Hit Rate of just 12.5% (League Avg: 20.2%) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Bradish
5/19Bradish has allowed a batting avg of of .300 (6-for-20) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years, but Simpson is batting just .225 (20-for-89) against right-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
18-70-6 Over48g · 94 props
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chandler Simpson hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?
Chandler Simpson hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 35.6% of the time in 2026, going 16-29-3 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Chandler Simpson over 0.5 strikeouts a good bet?
Based on 48 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chandler Simpson over 0.5 strikeouts at best closing odds has returned -$952 (-19.83% ROI). The hit rate is 35.6% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Chandler Simpson's strikeouts average this season?
Chandler Simpson averages 0.4 strikeouts per game in 2026 across 48 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge