
84.4% HRR O 0.573.9% H O 0.568.9% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Chandler Simpson propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
48g44.4%Over: 20-25-3
1vs O 0.5+110
vs
Orioles5/20
✓✗✗✗✓✗✓P✓✓
H: 54.2%(24)A: 29.2%(24)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(6%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Simpson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(10-5) | 13.3%(2-13) | 0%(0-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 68%(17-8) | 24%(6-19) | 0%(0-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gerrit Cole
5/22Simpson is batting .333 (8-for-24) against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Cole over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
5/20Baz has allowed a batting avg of of .300 (12-for-40) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years, but Baz has allowed a Well-Hit Rate of just 12.5% (League Avg: 20.2%) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Bradish
5/19Bradish has allowed a batting avg of of .300 (6-for-20) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years, but Simpson is batting just .225 (20-for-89) against right-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
24-101-8 Over48g · 133 props
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chandler Simpson hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Chandler Simpson hits the over on runs scored 0.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 20-25-3 with an average actual of 0.5.
Is Chandler Simpson over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 48 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chandler Simpson over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$200 (+4.17% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 0.5.
What is Chandler Simpson's runs scored average this season?
Chandler Simpson averages 0.5 runs scored per game in 2026 across 48 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge