Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays84.4% HRR O 0.573.9% H O 0.568.9% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Chandler Simpson propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Home Runs
48g0%Over: 0-45-3
0vs O 0.5+2200
vs
Orioles5/20
Orioles5/20✗✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗✗
H: 0%(24)A: 0%(24)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(6%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Simpson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(10-5) | 13.3%(2-13) | 0%(0-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 68%(17-8) | 24%(6-19) | 0%(0-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gerrit Cole
5/22Simpson is batting .333 (8-for-24) against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Cole over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
5/20Baz has allowed a batting avg of of .300 (12-for-40) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years, but Baz has allowed a Well-Hit Rate of just 12.5% (League Avg: 20.2%) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Bradish
5/19Bradish has allowed a batting avg of of .300 (6-for-20) against hitters like Simpson over the last two years, but Simpson is batting just .225 (20-for-89) against right-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
0-93-6 Over48g · 99 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/19 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3200 |
| 5/19 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6600 |
| 5/18 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2900 |
| 5/18 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/17 | vs Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1900 |
| 5/17 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/16 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/16 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/15 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/15 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/13 | @ Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/13 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/12 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1780 |
| 5/12 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +40000 |
| 5/11 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/11 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/10 | @ Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/10 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/9 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +40000 |
| 5/9 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 5/8 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/8 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/7 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/7 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2900 |
| 5/6 | vsBlue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2800 |
| 5/6 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/5 | vsBlue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/5 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6600 |
| 5/4 | vsBlue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/4 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/3 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/2 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2800 |
| 5/2 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/1 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/1 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/29 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2800 |
| 4/29 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/28 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/28 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/27 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 4/27 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/26 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 4/26 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/25 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 4/25 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/24 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 4/24 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chandler Simpson hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Chandler Simpson hits the over on home runs 0.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-45-3 with an average actual of 0.
Is Chandler Simpson over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 48 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chandler Simpson over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$4,500 (-93.75% ROI). The hit rate is 0% with an average actual of 0.
What is Chandler Simpson's home runs average this season?
Chandler Simpson averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 48 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.