
62.8% HRR O 0.547.7% H O 0.539.5% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Carter Jensen propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Home Runs
49g13.3%Over: 6-39-4
0vs O 0.5+980
vs
Red Sox5/20
✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗✗✗
H: 8.7%(23)A: 16.7%(24)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(6%)
Total Matchups
51Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jensen's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(6-3) | 55.6%(5-4) | 33.3%(3-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 31.6%(6-13) | 26.3%(5-14) | 10.5%(2-17) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(6-9) | 6.7%(1-14) | 0%(0-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Logan Gilbert
5/22Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of .486 against left-handed batters with high ISOs like Jensen over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Connelly Early
5/20Jensen has a wOBA of just .292 over his last 5 games in 18 PA's.
★★★★★vs Ranger Suarez
5/19Matchup data is limited but favors Suarez.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-89-9 Over47g · 104 props
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carter Jensen hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Carter Jensen hits the over on home runs 0.5 13.3% of the time in 2026, going 6-39-4 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Carter Jensen over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 49 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carter Jensen over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$220 (+4.49% ROI). The hit rate is 13.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Carter Jensen's home runs average this season?
Carter Jensen averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 49 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge