Kansas City Royals70.4% HRR O 0.561% H O 0.544.4% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Carter Jensen propsProps — 202690 games with closing lines
Home Runs
90g15.7%Over: 13-70-7
0vs O 0.5+480
@
Mets7/7
Mets7/7✗P✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✗
H: 11.6%(43)A: 17.8%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(5%)
Total Matchups
92Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jensen's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 80%(4-1) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(14-7) | 47.6%(10-11) | 19%(4-17) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.2%(14-17) | 32.3%(10-21) | 12.9%(4-27) |
| ★★★★★ | 53.8%(14-12) | 23.1%(6-20) | 7.7%(2-24) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 28.6%(2-5) | 14.3%(1-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cionel Pérez
7/7Jensen is slugging .570 in his last 100 PA's but has a well hit rate of 8.3% (League Avg: 20.2%) in his last five games.
★★★★★vs Cristopher Sánchez
7/6Jensen has a wOBA of just .238 over his last 5 games in 16 PA's.
★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
7/5Nola has allowed an OPS of .847 against hitters like Jensen over the last two years, but Jensen has a Well-Hit Rate of just 12.9% in 31 AB's against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Nola.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-175-16 Over88g · 204 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Carter Jensen hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Carter Jensen hits the over on home runs 0.5 15.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-70-7 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Carter Jensen over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 90 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carter Jensen over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$480 (+5.33% ROI). The hit rate is 15.7% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Carter Jensen's home runs average this season?
Carter Jensen averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 90 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge