
100% BBA O 1.575% ER O 3.540% K O 3.5
Props — 20256 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
6g50%Over: 3-3
3vs O 3.5-160
vs
Diamondbacks6/21
✗✓✗✓✗✓
H: 50%(2)A: 100%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Palmquist's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 3.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 75%(3-1) | 20%(1-4) | 100%(3-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
8/5Left-handed relievers have an ERA of just 3.82 against the Blue Jays over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★
6/21Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .292 against the Diamondbacks over the last two years.
★★★★★
6/16Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .246 against the Nationals over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-3 Over6g · 6 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/21 | vs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 6/16 | @ | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 6/10 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -155 |
| 6/1 | @ | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 5/26 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 5/21 | vs | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -130 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Carson Palmquist hit the over on earned runs 3.5?
Carson Palmquist hits the over on earned runs 3.5 75% of the time in 2025, going 3-1 with an average actual of 4.3.
Is Carson Palmquist over 3.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 6 games in 2025, betting $100 on Carson Palmquist over 3.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$7 (+1.17% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 4.3.
What is Carson Palmquist's earned runs average this season?
Carson Palmquist averages 4.3 earned runs per game in 2025 across 6 games. The primary line is set at 3.5.

Inside Edge