New York Yankees100% K O 2.562.5% BBA O 2.537.5% ER O 2.5
Season
All Carlos Rodon propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g44.4%Over: 4-5
0vs O 2.5+111
@
Red Sox6/28
Red Sox6/28✗✓✓✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 0%(2)A: 50%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(25%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Rodon's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(2-0) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Sonny Gray
6/28Current Red Sox hitters are batting .241 against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Rodon over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Casey Mize
6/23Tigers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Rodon.
★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
6/17Current White Sox hitters have an OPS of .674 in their last 36 PA's against Rodon, but other matchup data favors the White Sox.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-7 Over9g · 14 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/28 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +111 |
| 6/23 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +123 |
| 6/23 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | — |
| 6/17 | vs White Sox | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -148 |
| 6/10 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +114 |
| 6/10 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -162 |
| 6/4 | vsGuardians | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 6/4 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -176 |
| 5/29 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 5/21 | vs Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -163 |
| 5/21 | vsBlue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +116 |
| 5/16 | @ Mets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 5/10 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -160 |
| 5/10 | @Brewers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
New York Yankees Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carlos Rodon hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Carlos Rodon hits the over on earned runs 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 1.8.
Is Carlos Rodon over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carlos Rodon over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$70 (-7.78% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 1.8.
What is Carlos Rodon's earned runs average this season?
Carlos Rodon averages 1.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge