Pittsburgh Pirates83.3% BBA O 1.555.6% HA O 4.552.9% ER O 2.5
Season
All Bubba Chandler propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g50%Over: 9-9
4vs O 2.5-143
@
Nationals7/5
Nationals7/5✓✓✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(6)A: 45.5%(11)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Chandler's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 80%(4-1) | 60%(3-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
7/5Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Chandler.
★★★★★vs Cristopher Sánchez
6/30Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Chandler have an ERA of 4.67 against the Phillies since last year.
★★★★★vs Bryce Miller
6/25Pitchers with similar repertoires to Chandler have an ERA of 4.31 against the Mariners over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
12-12 Over18g · 24 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Nationals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -143 |
| 6/30 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -130 |
| 6/25 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 6/19 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 6/13 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/7 | @ Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/7 | @Braves | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +122 |
| 6/2 | @ Astros | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +112 |
| 5/27 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +128 |
| 5/27 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -174 |
| 5/22 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 5/16 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -106 |
| 5/10 | @ Giants | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 5/5 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -117 |
| 4/29 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 4/29 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +123 |
| 4/23 | @ Rangers | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +119 |
| 4/17 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 4/12 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -159 |
| 4/12 | @Cubs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +114 |
| 4/6 | vs Padres | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -145 |
| 4/6 | vsPadres | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 3/31 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 3/31 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -159 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Bubba Chandler hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bubba Chandler hits the over on earned runs 2.5 52.9% of the time in 2026, going 9-8 with an average actual of 2.8.
Is Bubba Chandler over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Bubba Chandler over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$16 (+0.89% ROI). The hit rate is 52.9% with an average actual of 2.8.
What is Bubba Chandler's earned runs average this season?
Bubba Chandler averages 2.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge