Inside Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates83.3% BBA O 1.562.5% ER O 2.544.4% HA O 4.5
Season
All Bubba Chandler propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g55.6%Over: 5-4
4vs O 2.5-106
vs
Phillies5/16
Phillies5/16✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✓✗
H: 100%(3)A: 40%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(18%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Chandler's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kevin Gausman
5/22Pitchers with similar repertoires to Chandler have an ERA of 4.62 against the Blue Jays over the last year.
★★★★★vs Cristopher Sanchez
5/16Current Phillies hitters are batting .289 against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Chandler over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle
5/10Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.21 against the Giants in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Giants.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-6 Over9g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/16 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -106 |
| 5/10 | @ Giants | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 5/5 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -117 |
| 4/29 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 4/29 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +123 |
| 4/23 | @ Rangers | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +119 |
| 4/17 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 4/12 | @ Cubs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -159 |
| 4/12 | @Cubs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +114 |
| 4/6 | vs Padres | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -145 |
| 4/6 | vsPadres | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 3/31 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 3/31 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -159 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Bubba Chandler hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bubba Chandler hits the over on earned runs 2.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 2.9.
Is Bubba Chandler over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Bubba Chandler over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$129 (+14.33% ROI). The hit rate is 62.5% with an average actual of 2.9.
What is Bubba Chandler's earned runs average this season?
Bubba Chandler averages 2.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.