Milwaukee Brewers81.3% K O 3.575% BBA O 1.561.5% ER O 2.5
Season
All Brandon Sproat propsProps — 202616 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
16g62.5%Over: 10-6
1vs O 2.5+120
@
Diamondbacks7/5
Diamondbacks7/5✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✓✓✓
H: 60%(5)A: 62.5%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(21%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Sproat's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(7-0) | 42.9%(3-4) | 28.6%(2-5) | 100%(4-0) | 50%(3-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez
7/5Not enough matchup data.
★★★★★vs Rhett Lowder
6/30Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.32 against the Reds in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Reds.
★★★★★vs Nick Lodolo
6/23Current Reds hitters are batting .217 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Sproat over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
12-9 Over16g · 21 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 6/30 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -168 |
| 6/30 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 6/23 | @Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 6/17 | vs Guardians | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -157 |
| 6/10 | @ Athletics | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 6/5 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -129 |
| 5/30 | @ Astros | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +120 |
| 5/30 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -175 |
| 5/24 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +104 |
| 5/18 | @ Cubs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +115 |
| 5/18 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -157 |
| 5/12 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 5/6 | @ Cardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +126 |
| 5/6 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -185 |
| 4/29 | vsDiamondbacks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 4/23 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -103 |
| 4/16 | vs Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +114 |
| 4/16 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 4/4 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +113 |
| 3/29 | vs White Sox | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -125 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Brandon Sproat hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Brandon Sproat hits the over on earned runs 2.5 61.5% of the time in 2026, going 8-5 with an average actual of 2.5.
Is Brandon Sproat over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2026, betting $100 on Brandon Sproat over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$359 (+22.44% ROI). The hit rate is 61.5% with an average actual of 2.5.
What is Brandon Sproat's earned runs average this season?
Brandon Sproat averages 2.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge