
61.6% HRR O 0.552.2% H O 0.536% SO O 1.5
Season
All Austin Riley propsProps — 202693 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
93g32.2%Over: 29-61-3
1vs O 0.5+167
@
Pirates7/7
✓✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 23.9%(46)A: 39.1%(46)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
30(20%)
Total Matchups
151Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Riley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 55.2%(16-13) | 31%(9-20) | 10.7%(3-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 45%(9-11) | 30%(6-14) | 10%(2-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(12-9) | 38.1%(8-13) | 10%(2-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.5%(5-8) | 23.1%(3-10) | 7.7%(1-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 11.1%(1-8) | 0%(0-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Paul Skenes
7/7Bottom-tier hitters like Riley are batting just .143 (48-for-335) against Skenes over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
7/6Riley has taken Peralta deep 2 times in his last 19 PA's against him.
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
7/5Bottom-tier hitters like Riley are batting just .183 (22-for-120) against McLean over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
37-239-8 Over92g · 284 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1200 |
| 7/7 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +167 |
| 7/7 | @ | O 3.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/7 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 7/6 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 7/6 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +128 |
| 7/6 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 7/6 | vs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1200 |
| 7/5 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +150 |
| 7/5 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 7/5 | vs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +725 |
| 7/4 | vs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +115 |
| 7/4 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +4500 |
| 7/4 | vs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/3 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 7/3 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 7/3 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 7/3 | vs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
| 7/2 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 7/2 | vs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/30 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 6/30 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 6/30 | vs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/30 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/27 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 6/27 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 6/27 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/27 | @ | O 3.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/26 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +7500 |
| 6/26 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +147 |
| 6/26 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1000 |
| 6/26 | @ | O 3.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/24 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +125 |
| 6/24 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +750 |
| 6/24 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 6/24 | @ | O 3.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/23 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 6/23 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Austin Riley hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Austin Riley hits the over on runs scored 0.5 32.2% of the time in 2026, going 29-61-3 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Austin Riley over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 93 games in 2026, betting $100 on Austin Riley over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$2,368 (-25.46% ROI). The hit rate is 32.2% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Austin Riley's runs scored average this season?
Austin Riley averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 93 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge