Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves61.7% HRR O 0.554% H O 0.540% RBI O 0.5
Season
All Austin Riley propsProps — 202651 games with closing lines
Home Runs
49g14.3%Over: 7-42
0vs O 0.5+597
@
Marlins5/21
Marlins5/21✗✓✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 13.6%(22)A: 14.8%(27)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
20(39%)
Total Matchups
51Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Riley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 57.9%(11-8) | 42.1%(8-11) | 16.7%(3-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 42.9%(3-4) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 46.2%(6-7) | 16.7%(2-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(3-6) | 22.2%(2-7) | 0%(0-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
5/22Riley is slugging .554 in his last 216 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Mikolas over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
5/21Riley is batting just .200 (7-35) against Alcantara.
★★★★★vs Janson Junk
5/20Matchup data is limited but favors Junk.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-93 Over49g · 101 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +597 |
| 5/21 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/20 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4800 |
| 5/20 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +525 |
| 5/19 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/19 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +491 |
| 5/18 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/18 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/17 | vs Red Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6600 |
| 5/17 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +590 |
| 5/16 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +531 |
| 5/16 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/15 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/15 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +540 |
| 5/14 | vs Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/14 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +512 |
| 5/13 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +420 |
| 5/13 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/12 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/12 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +650 |
| 5/10 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +410 |
| 5/10 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/9 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +570 |
| 5/9 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6100 |
| 5/8 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +517 |
| 5/8 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5700 |
| 5/6 | @ Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4700 |
| 5/6 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/5 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 5/5 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/4 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +420 |
| 5/4 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4400 |
| 5/3 | @ Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +472 |
| 5/3 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/2 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +520 |
| 5/2 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 5/1 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/1 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 4/30 | vs Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/30 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 4/29 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +590 |
| 4/29 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/28 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 4/28 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6400 |
| 4/26 | vs Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 4/26 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 4/25 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +549 |
| 4/25 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 4/24 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 4/24 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Austin Riley hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Austin Riley hits the over on home runs 0.5 14.3% of the time in 2026, going 7-42 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Austin Riley over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 49 games in 2026, betting $100 on Austin Riley over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$453 (-9.24% ROI). The hit rate is 14.3% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Austin Riley's home runs average this season?
Austin Riley averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 49 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.