
61.6% HRR O 0.552.2% H O 0.536% SO O 1.5
Season
All Austin Riley propsProps — 202693 games with closing lines
Home Runs
91g9%Over: 8-81-2
0vs O 0.5+650
@
Pirates7/7
✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 9.1%(44)A: 8.7%(46)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
30(20%)
Total Matchups
151Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Riley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 55.2%(16-13) | 31%(9-20) | 10.7%(3-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 45%(9-11) | 30%(6-14) | 10%(2-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(12-9) | 38.1%(8-13) | 10%(2-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.5%(5-8) | 23.1%(3-10) | 7.7%(1-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 11.1%(1-8) | 0%(0-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Paul Skenes
7/7Bottom-tier hitters like Riley are batting just .143 (48-for-335) against Skenes over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
7/6Riley has taken Peralta deep 2 times in his last 19 PA's against him.
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
7/5Bottom-tier hitters like Riley are batting just .183 (22-for-120) against McLean over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-191-5 Over90g · 205 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Austin Riley hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Austin Riley hits the over on home runs 0.5 9% of the time in 2026, going 8-81-2 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Austin Riley over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 91 games in 2026, betting $100 on Austin Riley over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$3,903 (-42.89% ROI). The hit rate is 9% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Austin Riley's home runs average this season?
Austin Riley averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 91 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge