How Kay's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 20%(1-4) | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 80%(4-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 50%(3-3) | 66.7%(4-2) | 40%(2-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Pitchers with similar repertoires to Kay have an ERA of 4.52 against the Braves over the last year.
Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.78 against the Tigers in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
Guardians hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Kay.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/20 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -123 |
| 8/15 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 8/8 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -167 |
| 8/2 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -143 |
| 7/28 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -164 |
| 7/22 | @ | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -162 |
| 7/17 | @ | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -179 |
| 7/9 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -164 |
| 7/3 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +132 |
| 6/28 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -148 |
| 6/22 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +111 |
| 6/17 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -173 |
| 6/12 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -184 |
| 6/12 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +151 |
| 6/11 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +102 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -198 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +151 |
| 5/30 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +130 |
| 5/25 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -181 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +116 |
| 5/14 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +135 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -106 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +129 |
| 4/27 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +104 |
| 4/22 | @ | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +151 |
| 4/9 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
| 3/29 | @ | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -177 |