
88.2% K O 1.546.2% HA O 4.536.4% OUT O 15.5
Props — 202618 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
17g56.3%Over: 9-7-1
1vs O 4.5-120
@
Guardians7/3
✗✓✗✓✗P✓✓✓✗
H: 62.5%(8)A: 20%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(20%)
Total Matchups
20Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kay's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
7/3Current Guardians hitters have struck out 29.4% of the time against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Kay over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Luinder Avila
6/28Current Royals hitters have an OPS of .602 against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Kay over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
6/22Current Guardians hitters have struck out 28.6% of the time against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Kay over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
11-11-1 Over17g · 23 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | @ | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 6/28 | vs | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -146 |
| 6/28 | vs | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +120 |
| 6/22 | vs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +101 |
| 6/22 | vs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -165 |
| 6/17 | @ | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +112 |
| 6/12 | vs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -148 |
| 6/12 | vs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 6/11 | vs | O 5.5 | 0 | P | +105 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -160 |
| 5/30 | vs | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -130 |
| 5/25 | vs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 5/25 | vs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +125 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -111 |
| 5/14 | vs | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -168 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +123 |
| 4/27 | vs | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -135 |
| 4/22 | @ | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +105 |
| 4/9 | @ | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +105 |
| 4/9 | @ | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -147 |
| 3/29 | @ | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -105 |
Chicago White Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Anthony Kay hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Anthony Kay hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 6-7 with an average actual of 4.3.
Is Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$46 (+2.71% ROI). The hit rate is 46.2% with an average actual of 4.3.
What is Anthony Kay's hits allowed average this season?
Anthony Kay averages 4.3 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.

Inside Edge