How Kay's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 20%(1-4) | 60%(3-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 80%(4-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 50%(3-3) | 66.7%(4-2) | 40%(2-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Pitchers with similar repertoires to Kay have an ERA of 4.52 against the Braves over the last year.
Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.78 against the Tigers in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
Guardians hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Kay.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/20 | vs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 8/20 | vs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 8/15 | @ | O 4.5 | 6 | W | — |
| 8/15 | @ | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +113 |
| 8/8 | vs | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -111 |
| 8/2 | @ | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -146 |
| 8/2 | @ | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +120 |
| 7/28 | vs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -106 |
| 7/22 | @ | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -145 |
| 7/22 | @ | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +123 |
| 7/17 | @ | O 4.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/17 | @ | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +116 |
| 7/9 | vs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -144 |
| 7/9 | vs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 7/3 | @ | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 6/28 | vs | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -146 |
| 6/28 | vs | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +120 |
| 6/22 | vs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +101 |
| 6/22 | vs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -165 |
| 6/17 | @ | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +112 |
| 6/12 | vs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -148 |
| 6/12 | vs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 6/11 | vs | O 5.5 | 0 | P | +105 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -160 |
| 5/30 | vs | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -130 |
| 5/25 | vs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 5/25 | vs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +125 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -111 |
| 5/14 | vs | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -168 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +123 |
| 4/27 | vs | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -135 |
| 4/22 | @ | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +105 |
| 4/9 | @ | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +105 |
| 4/9 | @ | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -147 |
| 3/29 | @ | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -105 |