Philadelphia Phillies70% HA O 4.564.3% ER O 2.557.1% BBA O 1.5
Props — 202614 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
14g64.3%Over: 9-5
6vs O 2.5-108
vs
Marlins6/17
Marlins6/17✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✓
H: 50%(8)A: 83.3%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(7%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Painter's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-6) | 83.3%(5-1) | 100%(5-0) | 66.7%(4-2) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
6/17Marlins hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Painter.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
6/12Brewers hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Painter.
★★★★★vs Brandon Eisert
6/6Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.49 against the White Sox in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-5 Over14g · 18 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/17 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -108 |
| 6/12 | @ Brewers | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +100 |
| 6/12 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -165 |
| 6/6 | vs White Sox | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -113 |
| 5/31 | @ Dodgers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -161 |
| 5/31 | @Dodgers | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +121 |
| 5/24 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +129 |
| 5/24 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -172 |
| 5/18 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -134 |
| 5/13 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 5/7 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -125 |
| 5/2 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +103 |
| 4/24 | @ Braves | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -108 |
| 4/19 | vsBraves | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +127 |
| 4/12 | vs Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 4/6 | @ Giants | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +124 |
| 4/6 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -166 |
| 3/31 | vs Nationals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Andrew Painter hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Andrew Painter hits the over on earned runs 2.5 64.3% of the time in 2026, going 9-5 with an average actual of 3.6.
Is Andrew Painter over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Andrew Painter over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$370 (+26.43% ROI). The hit rate is 64.3% with an average actual of 3.6.
What is Andrew Painter's earned runs average this season?
Andrew Painter averages 3.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge