Chicago Cubs78.2% HRR O 0.567.4% H O 0.555.2% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Alex Bregman propsProps — 202694 games with closing lines
Home Runs
94g6.7%Over: 6-83-5
0vs O 0.5+560
@
Orioles7/7
Orioles7/7✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 4.3%(47)A: 8.9%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
36(39%)
Total Matchups
92Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bregman's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 62.2%(23-14) | 24.3%(9-28) | 8.1%(3-34) |
| ★★★★★ | 76.9%(10-3) | 46.2%(6-7) | 15.4%(2-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(10-6) | 18.8%(3-13) | 6.3%(1-15) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(10-6) | 18.8%(3-13) | 0%(0-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 54.5%(6-5) | 27.3%(3-8) | 0%(0-11) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
7/7Bregman is slugging 1.111 and hitting .556 in nine AB's against Baz.
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
7/5Bregman is batting .296 (21-for-71) against left-handers with low strikeout rates over the last two years but is batting just .224 (22-for-98) against left-handers with high flyball rates over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
7/4Bregman is batting just .196 in his last 46 AB's.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-195-12 Over92g · 214 props
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Alex Bregman hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Alex Bregman hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-83-5 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Alex Bregman over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 94 games in 2026, betting $100 on Alex Bregman over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$5,111 (-54.37% ROI). The hit rate is 6.7% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Alex Bregman's home runs average this season?
Alex Bregman averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 94 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge